India
P.c: 55.89, matches remaining: Aus (2 away)
If India win one Check and draw the opposite, they’re going to end on 57.02; in such a case, they might lose out on the second spot to Australia, who would end on 58.77 in the event that they had been to additionally win each Checks in Sri Lanka. For India to qualify with 57.02, Australia would want to get not more than 16 factors in Sri Lanka (a win and a draw).
A win and a defeat in Australia would put India on 55.26, which would go away them pinning their hopes on Sri Lanka beating Australia by a minimum of a 1-0 margin.
Two attracts would go away India on 53.51. Sri Lanka can go previous that with a 2-0 win, whereas Australia would want a minimum of one win in Sri Lanka to beat it.
If India draw a Check and lose the opposite they’d end on 51.75 and be out of the race; in such a case Australia would end forward of India even when they had been to lose 2-0 in Sri Lanka.
India nonetheless have loads of work to do in Australia•AFP/Getty Pictures
Australia
P.c: 58.89, matches remaining: Ind (2 house Checks), SL (2 away)
If Australia had been to win the Melbourne and Sydney Checks in opposition to India, they’d make certain of qualifying for the WTC remaining – in such a case, they’d end on 57.02 even when they had been to go on to lose 2-0 in Sri Lanka.
A win and a draw in opposition to India would go away them forward of India even when they had been to lose each Checks in Sri Lanka, however then Sri Lanka may go previous Australia with a clear sweep.
If Australia had been to win one and lose one in opposition to India, they would want a minimum of one win in Sri Lanka to remain forward within the race. The identical applies if each Checks in opposition to India are drawn.
In the event that they had been to attract one and lose the opposite in opposition to India, they would want two wins in Sri Lanka.
Defeat in each Checks in opposition to India would push Australia out of competition.
Sri Lanka can not afford any extra slips, and nonetheless want Border-Gavaskar Trophy outcomes to go their method•Related Press
Sri Lanka
P.c: 45.45, matches remaining: Aus (2 house)
The utmost Sri Lanka can end on is 53.85, in the event that they beat Australia 2-0. For that to be sufficient for a second-place end, one in all two eventualities need to play out within the remaining Border-Gavaskar Trophy Checks:
Australia win one of many two house Checks, whereas the opposite is drawn
In another situation, both Australia or India will end larger than 53.85 and knock Sri Lanka out.
S Rajesh is stats editor of ESPNcricinfo. @rajeshstats