The New York Liberty will matchup in opposition to the Las Vegas Aces on the highway for sport one of many WNBA Finals. The Liberty will look to win their first ever championship, whereas the Aces will try and defend their title. Right here you’ll discover the WNBA betting odds, stats, tendencies, participant prop bets, and predictions for Sunday, Oct. 8.
Becky Hammon and Sandy Brondello have their groups atop the league this season 👏
Who do you’ve gotten successful the WNBA Finals? 🤔 pic.twitter.com/n4gF17brLS
— ESPN (@espn) October 5, 2023
WNBA Finals Odds Sport 1: New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces
WNBA Championship Odds
The sequence will probably be a “dogfight”
Right now marks the beginning of the WNBA Finals between the New York Liberty and the Las Vegas Aces. This will probably be New York’s first look since 2002, and the Aces will make their second consecutive finals. Head coach Sandy Brondello, of the Liberty, and Becky Hammon, of the Aces, are the primary time former gamers within the WNBA finals. Two elite coaches, Hammon and Brondello have a number of connections.
Hammon was a former participant for the New York Liberty from 1999-2006, whereas Brondello was an assistant coach for the San Antonio Stars. Coincidentally, Becky Hammon completed her WNBA profession as a participant for the Stars. In 2018, San Antonio moved to Las Vegas, and had been renamed the Aces.
With the common season sequence tied 2-2, the New York Liberty defeated the Las Vegas Aces 82-63 for his or her first Commissioners Cup victory. Every workforce is undefeated at house, with neither successful on the highway in 4 common season conferences.
The Aces completed with a WNBA report 34-6 report, whereas the Liberty completed a franchise finest 32-8. Every of two groups ranks first and second in factors per sport, factors per sport differential, discipline objective proportion, opposing discipline objective proportion, three-point proportion, free-throw proportion, and assists per sport. A mixed 32 All-Star picks, that is the matchup your complete league has been ready for. In the very best of 5 video games, the Aces will house court docket benefit for video games one and two.
The place and how you can watch sport one
On this article, I’ll break down the WNBA betting odds, statistics, tendencies, odds, participant prop bets, and predictions. The matchup will start at 3 p.m. ET, at Michelob ULTRA Enviornment, positioned in Las Vegas, Nevada. When you’re betting on the WNBA and fascinated by watching, the sport will air on ABC. For the very best betting odds, stats and evaluation, right here is data to know.
Aces -4.5 (-110)
WNBA Finals loading…#RaiseTheStakes pic.twitter.com/E0vMpcjFeT
— Las Vegas Aces (@LVAces) October 8, 2023
Season Stats PPG: 92.8 | FG: 48.6 % | 3 PT: 37.2 % | FT: 84 % | REB: 34.8 | AST: 21.7 |STL: 8.1 | BLK: 4.8
Playoff Stats: PPG: 86.2 | FG: 45.1 % | 3 PT: 35.8 % | FT: 89.1 % | REB: 39.8 | AST: 18.2 |STL: 8.4 | BLK: 5.6
Season Stats vs New York: PPG: 83 | FG: 45 % | 3 PT: 35.9 % | FT: 83.9 % | REB: 29.3 | AST: 22 | STL: 7.8 | BLK:3
The Las Vegas Aces are undefeated within the postseason, though they had been examined in sport three of the Semifinals in opposition to Dallas. A daily season common of 23-17-0 in opposition to the unfold, the Aces are 3-2 ATS within the postseason. Actually, they coated in three straight, and misplaced the -6.5 and -10.5 spreads in opposition to Dallas. They’ve the very best report all through the postseason, and stay first in defensive and web ranking.
Regardless of their slight regression in direction of the again finish of the season, Las Vegas has shined all through the playoffs. A’ja Wilson had three consecutive 30 plus video games, which is probably the most in WNBA Historical past. The Aces will matchup in opposition to the Liberty, who rank second in third in offensive and defensive ranking.
With house court docket benefit, the Liberty face an Aces workforce who suffered just one loss at house. With the sequence cut up 2-2 and with two dominant groups, it is troublesome to make stable predictions for the finals.
Why the Aces will cowl sport one
Each groups made historical past of their win columns, and New York did win the Commissioners Cup on their [Aces] house court docket. Though the Liberty had been examined within the first two rounds of the playoffs, they went 17-3 on the highway. After a sport one defeat, they gained three straight, together with two on the highway in opposition to Connecticut.
In two highway video games in opposition to Las Vegas, New York carried out considerably worse than in Brooklyn. They averaged 78 factors, 29.5 rebounds and 22 assists. They common about 15 rebounds extra at house (45.5), which is a bit alarming. Though the Liberty shot pretty effectively from deep, their discipline objective proportion dropped to 43.3 % in Vegas.
This must be a detailed sequence between the Las Vegas Aces and the New York Liberty. I do imagine the Aces will take sport one on their house court docket, based mostly off the common season statistics. I would not be stunned if the Liberty steal sport one, nevertheless all of the statistics and historical past level to the Aces taking this one.
Chelsea Grey O 22.5 Pts + Ast
𝟲𝗧𝗛 𝗔𝗟𝗟-𝗧𝗜𝗠𝗘 𝗣𝗟𝗔𝗬𝗢𝗙𝗙 𝗔𝗦𝗦𝗜𝗦𝗧𝗦 𝗟𝗘𝗔𝗗𝗘𝗥!
One other milestone for THA #POINTGAWDDDDD 👏@cgray209 // #RaiseTheStakes pic.twitter.com/ZvBRipDTUc
— Las Vegas Aces (@LVAces) September 30, 2023
Season Stats PPG: 15.3 | FG: 49 % | 3 PT: 42.1 % | FT: 89.7 % | REB: 4 | AST: 7.3 |STL: 1.4 | BLK: 0.6
Playoff Stats: PPG: 16 | FG: 45.1 % | 3 PT: 33.3 % | FT: 100 % | REB: 4.6 | AST: 6.4 STL: 1.6 | BLK: 1.2
Season Stats vs New York: PPG: 16.8 | FG: 44.1 % | 3 PT: 33.3 % | FT: 76.9% | REB: 5.8 | AST: 8 | STL: 1.8 | BLK:0.5
Chelsea Grey, the purpose guard of the Aces, was the 2022 Finals MVP for a cause. Identified for her infamous mid-range shot, Grey is the last word facilitator for this Aces workforce. Within the matchups in opposition to New York, the guard averaged over 16 factors and eight assists per sport. Generally known as “playoff Chelsea,” the Aces will face their hardest opponent but right here within the Finals.
Over 22.5 factors and assists hit seven of the final ten video games, and two of the 5 submit season video games. Grey thrives in essential video games, and will probably be pressured to maneuver the ball, and at occasions take photographs herself.
With the primary two video games in Las Vegas, Grey carried out superior on the Aces house court docket. In 20 house video games, the purpose guard averaged 16.6 factors, and seven.3 assists, on 46.5 three-point taking pictures. In 4 playoff video games at house, she’s averaging over 16 factors and seven assists, 45.5 % taking pictures. I count on the ball to be in her fingers for a majority of the sequence.
Betnijah Laney O 22.5 Pts + Reb + Ast
And that is why we caller Bucket B‼️ pic.twitter.com/DlN9cv44jg
— New York Liberty (@nyliberty) October 1, 2023
Season Stats PPG: 12.8 | FG: 49.9 % | 3 PT: 39.2 % | FT: 79.1 % | REB: 3.3 | AST: 2.4 | STL: 0.9 | BLK: 0.1
Playoff Stats: PPG: 17 | FG: 48.2 % | 3 PT: 43.8 % | FT: 75 % | REB: 5.2 | AST: 3 |STL: 0.7 | BLK: 0
Season Stats vs Las Vegas: PPG: 12.5 | FG: 50 % | 3 PT: 41.2 % | FT: 87.5 % | REB: 5.3 | AST: 2.8 | STL: 0.5 | BLK:0
Betnijah Laney has been the last word x-factor for the New York Liberty on either side of the ball. When she does not rating not directly, it is observed in essential video games. In six playoff video games, Laney is averaging 17 factors, 5.2 rebounds, on 43.8 % three-point taking pictures. Utilizing her toughness, No. 44 excels at driving to the basket with resiliency, taking pictures 48.2 % from the sphere.
Laney scored 20 plus factors in three straight video games, and helped the Liberty shut out the Semifinals in opposition to the Connecticut Solar. In two video games in opposition to Washington within the first spherical, Laney had back-to again 19 level video games.
For this prop, over 22.5 factors, rebounds, and assists hit eight of the final ten video games, and 4 of the final sport. This betting prop hit three of the 5 matchups in opposition to Vegas, together with the Commissioners Cup. Within the season sequence in opposition to the Aces, Laney averaged 12.5 factors on 41.2 three level taking pictures.
The Field rating does not all the time reveal how beneficial a participant is for a workforce. Benijah Laney is thought for her defensive prowess, and defensive stops typically flip into offense. With the best way she’s been enjoying, I absolutely count on No.44 to hit over 22.5 factors, rebounds, and assists in sport one.
Las Vegas Aces
LV Aces: 5-0 in their final 5 video games.
9-1 of their final 10 video games.
ATS File: 21-19-0
O/U File: 24-16-0
3-2 ATS of their final 5 video games.
5-5 ATS of their final 10 video games.
O/U is 1-3-1 within the final 5 video games.
O/U: 5-4-1 within the final 10 video games.
1st in Offensive Score (113)
third in Offensive Score within the Playoffs (106.9)
1st in Defensive Score (97.7)
1st in Defensive Score within the Playoffs (88.4)
1st in Factors Per Sport (92.8)
2nd in Tempo: 98.58
Opponent Factors Per Sport: 80.3 (2nd)
Three-Level Proportion: 37.2 % (2nd)
Three-Level Proportion within the Playoffs: 35.8 % (third)
Rebounds Per Sport: 34.8 (fifth)
Rebounds Per Sport within the Playoffs: 39.8(1st)
LV ATS gained final 10 video games: Seattle (-20), Phoenix (-19), Chicago (-16, -17.5), Dallas (-10)
𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗦𝗧𝗔𝗚𝗘 𝗜𝗦 𝗦𝗘𝗧
The Las Vegas Aces vs the New York Liberty within the 2023 @WNBA Finals. Meet us at The Home!
Sport 1 | October 8Game 2 | October 11
🎟 https://t.co/qt0uXxkw1J pic.twitter.com/1a9YkcoaK7
— Las Vegas Aces (@LVAces) October 1, 2023
New York Liberty
New York Liberty: 3-2 in their final 5 video games.
8-2 of their final 10 video games.
ATS File: 19-21-0
O/U File: 23-17-0
2-3 ATS of their final 5 video games.
5-5 ATS of their final 10 video games.
O/U is 4-1 within the final 5 video games.
O/U: 7-3 within the final 10 video games.
2nd in Offensive Score (109.6)
4th in Offensive Score within the playoffs (104.5)
third in Defensive Score (99.4)
4th in Defensive Score within the playoffs (100)
2nd in Factors Per Sport (89.2)
fifth in Tempo: 96.56
Opponent Factors Per Sport: 80.6 (4th)
Three-Level Proportion: 37.4 (1st)
Three-Level Proportion playoffs: 30.9 % (sixth)
Rebounds Per Sport: 37.9 (2nd)
Rebounds Per Sport playoffs: 37.8 (third)
New York ATS gained final 10 video games: Phoenix (-12.5), Minnesota (-9), Las Vegas (-2), Connecticut (-7.5), Chicago (-9), Washington (-9.5).
Libs been lighting it UP 💪 pic.twitter.com/IKQ4JGmz2k
— New York Liberty (@nyliberty) October 2, 2023
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