The Connecticut Solar will matchup towards the Minnesota Lynx on the street for recreation 3. After tonight’s matchup, one in all these groups can be eradicated from the playoffs. Right here, you’ll find the WNBA betting odds, stats, developments, participant prop bets, and predictions for Wednesday, Sept. 20.
GAME 3 ‼
It is win or go dwelling because the @minnesotalynx host the @ConnecticutSun in Recreation 3, Spherical 1 of the 2023 #WNBAPlayoffs offered by @Google
Tune in and discover out who advances to the Semi-finals pic.twitter.com/MnlT3TEwRq
— WNBA (@WNBA) September 20, 2023
One crew can be eradicated from the playoffs tonight
Tonight, is recreation three of the first-round WNBA playoffs between the Connecticut Solar (1-1, 1-1 Residence) and the Minnesota Lynx (1-1, 1-1 Away). After sealing a recreation one victory, the Lynx defeated the Solar 82-75 on the street. In a low scoring affair, Minnesota had 54 mixed factors from Napheesa Collier and Kayla McBride. For the Solar, DeWanna Bonner and Alyssa Thomas collectively scored 50 factors. As soon as down by sixteen factors within the third quarter, Connecticut was capable of capitalize off turnovers and slender the deficit to 2 factors within the fourth. By way of 40 minutes, the Lynx dominated on the rebounds, and scoring within the paint.
Connecticut could not get the stops they wanted within the third quarter, which gave Minnesota a majority of the momentum. Kayla McBride had seven factors alone, together with two appears to be like within the paint. Collier made a press release within the first ten minutes, with 10 factors. Because the Solar chipped away, Collier drained a two-point shot with 2:12 to go in closing regulation. Underneath two minutes, Connecticut was unable to take advantage of the opposing protection, and missed a key three-point jumper and a driving layup. In a playoff format like the primary spherical, there’s zero room for error, and we noticed that with the Solar.
On this article, I’ll break down the WNBA betting odds, statistics, developments, odds, participant prop bets, and predictions. The matchup will start at 8 p.m. ET, at Goal Heart, situated in Minneapolis, Minnesota. For those who’re Betting on the WNBA and desirous about watching, the sport will air on ESPN. For the perfect betting odds, stats and evaluation, right here is data to know.
WNBA Odds Recreation 3: Connecticut Solar vs. Minnesota Lynx
by the entire protection for ✌️! @athomas_25 #CTSun | #ForgedByFire 🔥 pic.twitter.com/5J2On0dP6k
— Connecticut Solar (@ConnecticutSun) September 17, 2023
Season Stats: PPG: 15.5 | FG: 47.4 % | 3 PT: 0 % | FT: 71.5 % | REB: 9.9 | AST: 7.9 |STL: 1.8 | BLK: 0.5
Playoff Stats: PPG: 20.5 | FG: 51.5 % | 3 PT: 0 % | FT: 63.6 % | REB: 5.5 | AST: 8 |STL: 3 | BLK: 1
If there’s one participant prop wager I am assured in, it is Alyssa Thomas over factors and assists. A present MVP candidate, Thomas had 26 factors, and 6 assists, on 10-18 capturing, in Recreation two towards Minnesota. Over the course of the playoffs, the Suns level ahead averages over 20 factors a recreation, and practically six assists per recreation. In recreation one, No. 25 put up a powerful stat line, with one other double-double. By way of 37 minutes, Thomas added 15 factors, and 10 assists on 7-15 discipline aim capturing. The Solar will now face the Lynx on the street, in a vital recreation three.
Over 24.5 factors and assists hit within the first two playoff video games for Thomas, and three of the final 5 matchups. Within the month of August, Thomas hit this prop seven of 11 video games. In 4 common season matchups towards the Lynx, the prop hit three of the 4 video games. Thomas averaged 17.3 factors, 36.6 minutes, and 10.3 assists in 4 video games towards the Lynx this yr. On the street towards Minnesota, No. 25 averaged 15.5 factors, 34.2 minutes, and 9 assists. It is essential to notice, Alyssa Thomas shot 48 p.c from the sphere, which is three p.c extra on the street. Final matchup, Thomas performed a full 40 minutes, through which she had 18 discipline aim makes an attempt. I count on her to be on the courtroom till the final second tonight, win or lose.
Why over factors and assists will hit
In a potential elimination recreation, Alyssa Thomas may have the ball in her fingers tonight. Final recreation, we noticed her take management when the Solar have been down factors, through which the ahead trekked to the free-throw line seven instances. Over the course of the season, Thomas has carried out persistently effectively towards Minnesota. She had back-to-back triple doubles, a primary in WNBA historical past, and can face a Lynx crew who ranked tenth in defensive score. Given Thomas loves driving to the ring, the Lynx allowed the eighth most factors within the paint this yr (36.7).
In 40 common season video games, the All-Star averaged 15.6 factors and seven.4 assists on the street. Her discipline aim proportion is larger on the street, together with free-throw makes an attempt. With eight groups within the playoffs, Minnesota has the fifth worst defensive score (107.8) and is permitting the Solar to shoot 45 p.c by two matchups. She is going to more than likely be matchup up with Napheesa Collier, who ranked within the backside 113 in defensive score (103.7). With Jessica Shepard out with an harm, Dorka Juhasz may have the duty of guarding each Thomas and Bonner as a rookie.
In a vital recreation similar to tonight’s matchup, the ball will completely be within the fingers of Alyssa Thomas. Not a stranger to elimination video games, No. 25 thrives for all these moments. I can not consider one other participant to belief in a should win recreation, who has a number of talent units. Hiedeman, Allen, and Hayes all should step up moreover Thomas and Bonner.
Why over discipline aim makes an attempt will hit
With Connecticut’s offensive primarily flowing by Alyssa Thomas on the level ahead place, No. 25 is averaging 38.4 minutes and 16.5 discipline aim makes an attempt by two playoff matchups towards Minnesota. On the street, Thomas averaged solely 12.5 discipline aim makes an attempt on the street. That is been a distinct story towards the Minnesota Lynx. Thomas averaged 14.5 discipline aim makes an attempt in 4 matchups, and with elimination on the road, I count on Thomas to hit this prop, particularly with the excessive quantity of minutes performed. Given she is not a three-point risk, I count on her to search out her strategy to the basket, particularly given Minnesota was the eighth worst crew towards factors within the paint.
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The Minnesota Lynx compelled a recreation three after their defeat over the Solar. Total, Connecticut is 14-6 on the street, and the Lynx are below .500 at September 11 at dwelling. Although the Solar carried out inferior on the street, they’d stronger numbers on the Goal Heart.
Regardless of dropping recreation two towards Minnesota, Connecticut gained the common season sequence 3-1, and two of these victories got here in Minneapolis. In two away video games towards the Lynx, the Solar averaged 89 factors, 34.5 rebounds, 20.5 assists, and 39.6 p.c from three. In matchups at dwelling towards Minnesota, the Solar solely averaged 81 factors, 33 rebounds, and 18.9 p.c from the three. Sure, you learn that accurately, Connecticut shot over 20 p.c extra effectively from the three on Minnesota’s dwelling courtroom.
Regardless of the harm to Brionna Jones, Connecticut formulated a plan and have been the No. 3 seed within the WNBA. Coach of the yr, Stephanie White led the Solar to 27 wins, through which they completed a prime defensive crew. The playoffs are utterly totally different, and the Solar may have a tricky matchup on the street, no matter their statistics. Minnesota has key items round Collier and McBride, together with Diamond Miller and Dorka Juhasz.
With the Connecticut Solar one yr faraway from the WNBA finals, I’ve full confidence they are going to win this recreation outright. With the season on the road, the offensive and protection will move by Alyssa Thomas and DeWanna Bonner tonight. Connecticut was the fifth finest by way of clutch score this season. The playoffs are all about who’s peaking on the proper time, and this must be a aggressive matchup tonight. If Connecticut can defeat the Lynx on the rebounds, Minnesota was ranked the worst crew towards opponent second probability factors per recreation (12.3).
Connecticut Solar
CT Solar: 3-2 in their final 5 video games.
6-4 of their final 10 video games.
ATS Document: 21-17-2
O/U Document: 22-18-0
3-2 ATS of their final 5 video games.
5-4-1 ATS of their final 10 video games.
O/U is 1-4 within the final 5 video games.
O/U: 4-6 within the final 10 video games.
4th in Offensive Ranking (103.2)
4th in Offensive Ranking within the playoffs (107.8)
2nd in Defensive Ranking (98.8)
third in Defensive Ranking within the playoffs (92.8)
4th in Factors Per Recreation (82.7)
tenth in Tempo: 95.14
Opponent Factors Per Recreation: 79 (1st)
Three-Level Share: 36% (4th)
Three-Level Share playoffs: 46% (1st)
Rebounds Per Recreation: 33.6 (eighth)
Rebounds Per Recreation playoffs: 33 (seventh)
Connecticut ATS gained final 10 video games: Chicago (-5.5), New York (+6), LA (-6.5, -10.5), Indiana (-10), Minnesota (-8.5)
GAME THREE 👌
Solar at Lynx⏰ 8 PM ET📍Goal Heart📺 @espn pic.twitter.com/E4WZTuuTNa
— Connecticut Solar (@ConnecticutSun) September 20, 2023
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx: 2-3 in their final 5 video games.
5-5 of their final 10 video games.
ATS Document: 21-18-1
O/U Document: 23-17-0
2-3 ATS of their final 5 video games.
5-5 ATS of their final 10 video games.
O/U is 2-3 within the final 5 video games.
O/U:6-4 within the final 10 video games.
eighth in Offensive Ranking (99.8)
sixth in Offensive Ranking within the playoffs (92.8)
tenth in Defensive Ranking (105.7)
sixth in Defensive Ranking within the playoffs (95)
eighth in Factors Per Recreation (80.2)
fifth in Defensive Ranking within the playoffs (107.8)
ninth in Tempo: 95.84
Opponent Factors Per Recreation: 85 (eleventh)
Three-Level Share: 32.5 (eleventh)
Three-Level Share playoffs: 28.6 (fifth)
Rebounds Per Recreation: 34.3 (sixth)
Rebounds Per Recreation playoffs: 33.5 (sixth)
Minnesota: ATS gained final 10 video games: Seattle (-2), Dallas (+6, +6.5), Atlanta (-1.5), Phoenix (-8.5), New York (+9)
1-1. pic.twitter.com/AW3CJ86XTn
— Minnesota Lynx (@minnesotalynx) September 18, 2023
Head-to-head stats: Solar vs. Lynx
Season Matchups:
Recreation 1: Connecticut 89, Minnesota 84 (Minnesota +6, over 159.5)Recreation 2: Connecticut 89, Minnesota 68 (Connecticut -4, below 158)Recreation 3: Minnesota 87, Connecticut 83 (Minnesota +12.5, over 161)Recreation 4: Connecticut 79, Minnesota 69 (Minnesota +11.5, below 164)
Playoffs
Recreation 1: Connecticut 90, Minnesota 60 (Connecticut -8.5, below 159.5)Recreation 2: Minnesota 82, Connecticut 75 (Minnesota +9, below 159)
Connecticut gained the sequence 3-1
The Lynx are 3-1 ATS vs. the Solar this season.
Recreation Factors (AVG) final 10 matchups: 157
Connecticut common factors final 10 video games: 80.5
Minnesota common factors final 10 video games: 80
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Sara Jane Gamelli is a full-time Sportswriter at BallisLife, and Sports activities Content material Creator on Twitch and TikTok. She has a concentrate on the NBA, WNBA, NCAA Basketball, and the NFL. Sara Jane at the moment resides in Connecticut together with her Cat and Canine. SJ has her undergraduate diploma from the College of Connecticut in Economics, with a minor in enterprise administration.
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