In the present day’s mailbag will get into the Gavin Lux commerce, the Yankees’ infield, the Giants’ potential so as to add a bat, how the Orioles might commerce for a high starter, what a Blake Road Bombers Half 2 lineup might appear like for the Rockies, why some free brokers do not register Toronto, why the Astros don’t get extra flak for buying and selling Kyle Tucker, and extra.
Kyle asks:
What’s your tackle the Lux commerce to Cincinnati? As a Mariners fan I am a bit irked they would not beat the Reds provide (M’s have comp A decide #33, Reds traded #37 and a prospect for Lux). Are the M’s being too danger averse?
Leonard asks:
I heard on MLB TV that the Reds actually like Gavin Lux’s versatility to play a number of positions. Isn’t that one of many causes the Dodgers traded him? (Apart from the excess of center infielders). Lux is a median 2B. He couldn’t make the throws from SS. He didn’t present that he might play 3B or the OF properly sufficient, both. Feedback?
Jeff asks:
After the Gavin Lux commerce, how a lot enjoying time do you assume Noelvi Marte will get this 12 months?
Dante asks:
Do you assume the Lux commerce for the Reds was in anticipation of one other transfer, one thing like a commerce from infield depth for Luis Robert? I perceive the will so as to add good gamers, however they do appear to have stockpiled loads of infielders, and the staff appears to want some pop in the midst of the lineup.
Elliott asks:
After the Gavin Lux acquisition, who’s the very best match for the Reds’ subsequent transfer? In all probability a right-handed hitting outfielder at this level?
Colin asks:
I’ve at all times preferred Gavin Lux though he has not but developed into the star he was projected to be. That stated, I’m wondering if the commerce clears the best way for Mookie Betts to return to his extra pure place of second base with Rojas and Kim splitting responsibility at shortstop? I might observe too that it clears a roster spot for Sasaki, if they’re lucky sufficient to signal him. Your ideas?
Jason asks:
What do you make of the Gavin Lux commerce? Did the Dodgers have sufficient of him or did they like Alex Freeland sufficient to platoon with Kim?
Lux is a 27-year-old platoon second baseman. He saved his season with a scorching streak that I would say ran from July eleventh by way of September 4th. In that interval, Lux posted an enormous 181 wRC+ in 161 plate appearances. He then posted a 80 wRC+ in 62 plate appearances for the remainder of the common season, including one other 43 postseason PA with a .177/.286/.294 line.
Previous to his eight-week scorching streak, Lux was one of many ten worst-hitting common place gamers in baseball over a span of 264 plate appearances. On the season, Lux was closely shielded towards left-handed pitching, dealing with southpaws solely 10.3% of the time. That is for good motive – he posted an absymal 17 wRC+ towards lefties in these 50 PA.
In feedback on MLB.com, Reds president of baseball operations Nick Krall pointed to this October 4th article from Jay Jaffe of FanGraphs to assist clarify Lux’s second half efforts to swing more durable and do extra harm. Lux’s modifications had been actual; he clearly began swinging more durable. You may learn extra about these modifications on this August eighth article from Fabian Ardaya at The Athletic.
Lux has a 108 wRC+ towards righties over 1,210 plate appearances in his profession. The eight-week streak is not sufficient to persuade me he is modified, particularly since he struggled once more for the final 105 PA of his season.
All that stated, Lux is a 27-year-old former first rounder. There may be upside right here the place swinging more durable results in a 120 wRC+, he holds his personal towards lefties as he did in 2022, and he turns into a 4-5 WAR participant and borderline star. Perhaps he can turn into enough at positions than different second base, too. I do not assume the Reds are more likely to get that out of him when the Dodgers could not, however maybe being again within the midwest and out of the concentration is going to assist.
Defensively, Krall stated Lux will play second base, some outfield, and DH, and the staff would “give him a glance” at third base and shortstop. Lux famously had points making the throw from shortstop; it is laborious to see how third base can be any higher. He confirmed seventh percentile arm energy this 12 months, in all probability ruling out proper area. Lux dabbled in left area as lately as 2022, so I might see him getting time there. The thought of Lux being versatile is overstated the best way it as soon as was when Jurickson Profar could not discover a place. So sure, I agree with what Leonard stated in his query above.
As a second baseman, Lux was barely below-average in Statcast’s OAA this 12 months. So I imagine what the Reds have in Lux is 2 reasonably priced years of a platoon second baseman who must be on the bench 27% of the time however is able to a 108 wRC+ towards righties. That is a helpful participant.
However what if I advised you there was a free agent, additionally controllable for 2 years, who would signal for $3.5MM and will just about do the identical issues as Lux, however has additionally demonstrated he can play third base properly?
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