Kentucky Derby Trends: 2023 Churchill Down Stats

Use our 2023 Kentucky Derby tendencies to assist discover the winner of the large Might 6 Churchill Downs race. The important thing stats will spotlight one of the best profile of previous winners – for instance, ALL of the final 11 Kentucky Derby winners got here from gate 5 or larger.

Kentucky Derby Betting Presents For 2023 Churchill Downs Race

2023 Kentucky Derby Tendencies and Stats

Assist discover the winner of the 2023 Kentucky Derby utilizing our key tendencies and stats. For instance, ALL of the final 11 Kentucky Derby winners ran within the final seven weeks, whereas the Kentucky Derby favourite has a 55% strike-rate within the final 11 renewals.

11/11 – Ran within the final 7 weeks
11/11 – Drawn gate 5 or larger
11/11 – Gained by a US bred horse
10/11 – By no means received at Churchill Downs earlier than
9/11 – By no means raced at Churchill Downs earlier than
9/11 – Had received over at the least 1m1f earlier than
10/11 – Positioned favorites
8/11 – Gained final day trip
7/11 – Ran within the final 4 weeks
7/11 – Gained 3 or extra occasions earlier than
6/11 – Profitable favorites
5/11 – Drawn between gates 5-8 (inc)
5/11 – Drawn between gates 13-19 (inc)
3/11 – Got here into the race unbeaten
3/11 – Ran at Santa Anita final day trip
3/11 – Ran at Gulfstream Park final day trip
2/11 – Educated by Doug O’Neill
2/11 – Ridden by John Velazquez

Kentucky Derby Coach Stats

Bob Baffert has received the race 6 occasions earlier than (1997, 1998, 2002, 2015, 2018, 2020)
Todd Pletcher has received the race twice earlier than (2010 & 2017)
Brad H. Cox has received the race as soon as earlier than (2021)
John Shirreffs has received the race as soon as earlier than (2005)

When is the Kentucky Derby 2023?

The 2023 Kentucky Derby will probably be run on Saturday Might 6 at Churchill Downs racetrack.

📅Time/Date: 6:57pm, Saturday Might 6, 2023🏇Racecourse: Churchill Downs💰 Purse/Winner: $3m / £1,860,000📺 TV: NBC and Peacock🎲 Kentucky Derby Odds: Forte 5/2 | Tapit Trice 6/1 | Angel Of Empire 10/1

2023 Kentucky Derby Tendencies: High 7 Horses Primarily based On The Stats

We check out the highest seven horses within the 2023 Kentucky Derby betting and apply our foremost 8 Kentucky Derby tendencies to every of them to see who comes out finest.

Notice: As soon as the gates are introduced then you may as well apply the important thing draw stat to those runners. Keep in mind ALL of the final 11 Kentucky Derby winners got here from gate 5 or larger.

FORTE

This Todd Pletcher-trained 3 year-old would be the 2023 Kentucky Derby favorite and it’s straightforward to see why. Forte is coming into the Run for the Roses off the again of 5 straight wins – the final being within the Florida Derby on April 1 – beating Mage by a size. The Pletcher yard have two Kentucky Derby wins to their title (2010 & 2017) and with different large fancies Tapit Trice and Kingsbarns, the barn has a powerful hand within the Churchill Downs race this yr.

11/11 – Ran within the final 7 weeks ✅
11/11 – Gained by a US bred horse ✅
10/11 – Positioned favorites ✅
9/11 – By no means raced at Churchill Downs earlier than ✅
9/11 – Had received over at the least 1m1f earlier than ✅
8/11 – Gained final day trip ✅
7/11 – Gained 3 or extra occasions earlier than ✅
6/11 – Profitable favorites ✅

TAPIT TRICE

One other large participant for the Todd Pletcher camp after profitable the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland on April 8. Tapit Trice has now received 4 of his 5 begins, having additionally received the Tampa Bay Derby again in March. Final day trip he battled on effectively to get the higher of Verifying, however there was solely a neck between them on the publish, so it’s honest to say they may head to Churchill Downs intently matched.

11/11 – Ran within the final 7 weeks ✅
11/11 – Gained by a US bred horse ✅
10/11 – Positioned favorites ❌
9/11 – By no means raced at Churchill Downs earlier than ✅
9/11 – Had received over at the least 1m1f earlier than ✅
8/11 – Gained final day trip ✅
7/11 – Gained 3 or extra occasions earlier than ✅
6/11 – Profitable favorites ❌

DERMA SOTOGAKE

Potential Kentucky Derby runner from Japan, so if profitable can be creating an enormous chunk of Churchill Downs historical past. No stranger to racing outdoors his homeland although, as received the UAE Derby at Meydan (Dubai) in March and was additionally third within the profitable Saudi Derby in February.

11/11 – Ran within the final 7 weeks ❌
11/11 – Gained by a US bred horse ❌
10/11 – Positioned favorites ❌
9/11 – By no means raced at Churchill Downs earlier than ✅
9/11 – Had received over at the least 1m1f earlier than ✅
8/11 – Gained final day trip ✅
7/11 – Gained 3 or extra occasions earlier than ✅
6/11 – Profitable favorites ❌

ANGEL OF EMPIRE

This Brad H.Cox runner will probably be seeking to give the yard their second Kentucky Derby win after taking the Run for the Roses in 2021 with Mandaloun. Angel Of Empire heads into the race in superb type too having received the Arkansas Derby on April 1 and has now been profitable in 4 of his 6 races – profitable simply over $1m.

11/11 – Ran within the final 7 weeks ✅
11/11 – Gained by a US bred horse ✅
10/11 – Positioned favorites ❌
9/11 – By no means raced at Churchill Downs earlier than ✅
9/11 – Had received over at the least 1m1f earlier than ✅
8/11 – Gained final day trip ✅
7/11 – Gained 3 or extra occasions earlier than ✅
6/11 – Profitable favorites ❌

PRACTICAL MOVE

Housed on the Tim Yakteen barn, who’re looking their first Kentucky Derby win. They’ve received an ideal likelihood of placing that proper although as this enhancing 3 year-old was a gutsy winner of the Santa Anita Derby on April 8. He beat two different attainable 2023 Kentucky Derby runners Mandarin Hero and Skinner in a decent three-way battle up the shoot, which was his fourth profession win now from 7.

11/11 – Ran within the final 7 weeks ✅
11/11 – Gained by a US bred horse ✅
10/11 – Positioned favorites ❌
9/11 – By no means raced at Churchill Downs earlier than ✅
9/11 – Had received over at the least 1m1f earlier than ✅
8/11 – Gained final day trip ✅
7/11 – Gained 3 or extra occasions earlier than ✅
6/11 – Profitable favorites ❌

KINGSBARNS

The subsequent of the large Todd Pletcher Kentucky Derby hopes that heads within the Might 6 race unbeaten 3-from-3. The final of these wins got here within the Louisiana Derby on March 25 – profitable by a formidable 3 1/2 lengths. Being lightly-raced there needs to be much more to come back from this Uncle Mo colt.

11/11 – Ran within the final 7 weeks ✅
11/11 – Gained by a US bred horse ✅
10/11 – Positioned favorites ❌
9/11 – By no means raced at Churchill Downs earlier than ❌
9/11 – Had received over at the least 1m1f earlier than ✅
8/11 – Gained final day trip ✅
7/11 – Gained 3 or extra occasions earlier than ✅
6/11 – Profitable favorites ❌

VERIFYING

One other main likelihood for the Brad H.Cox group, who come into the Kentucky Derby with 2 wins from 6 runs, however was a stable second within the Toyota Blue Grass Stake final time at Keeneland. He was solely a neck behind Tapit Trice that day so many really feel he’s received a stable likelihood of reversing that type with the Pletcher horse. He’ll be seeking to give Cox his second KD win after touchdown the prize in 2021, however of our featured runners does appear to have probably the most Kentucky Derby tendencies to beat.

11/11 – Ran within the final 7 weeks ✅
11/11 – Gained by a US bred horse ✅
10/11 – Positioned favorites ❌
9/11 – By no means raced at Churchill Downs earlier than ✅
9/11 – Had received over at the least 1m1f earlier than ❌
8/11 – Gained final day trip ❌
7/11 – Gained 3 or extra occasions earlier than ❌
6/11 – Profitable favorites ❌

Kentucky Derby Betting Odds

See the newest 2023 Kentucky Derby odds you could get by becoming a member of up with one of the best offshore sportsbooks within the US.

Forte @ 5/2
Tapit Trice @ 6/1
Angel Of Empire @ 10/1
Derma Sotogake @ 10/1
Kingsbarns @ 10/1
Sensible Transfer @ 10/1
Verifying @ 14/1
Mandarin Hero @ 16/1
Two Phil’s @ 20/1
Mage @ 20/1
Hit Present @ 25/1
Lord Miles @ 25/1
Skinner @ 33/1
Confidence Recreation @ 33/1

Notice: Others on request and odds topic to vary

WATCH: Wealthy Strike Profitable The 2022 Kentucky Derby

 Current Winners Of The Kentucky Derby

2022 – RICH STRIKE (81/1)
2021 – MANDALOUN (269/10)
2020 – AUTHENTIC (84/10)
2019 – COUNTRY HOUSE (65/1)
2018 – JUSTIFY (29/10 fav)
2017 – ALWAYS DREAMING (47/10 fav)
2016 – NYQUIST (23/10 fav)
2015 – AMERICAN PHAROAH (29/10 fav)
2014 – CALIFORNIA CHROME (5/2 fav)
2013 – ORB (11/2 fav)
2012 – I’LL HAVE ANOTHER (153/10)
2011 – ANIMAL KINGDOM (209/10)
2010 – SUPER SAVER (8/1)
2009 – MINE THAT BIRD (51/1)
2008 – BIG BROWN (12/5 fav)
2007 – STREET SENSE (49/10 fav)

Horse Racing Associated Content material