There are a number of gamers who’re powerful to foretell throughout the preparation of the Prime 50 free brokers yearly. Typically, they’re gamers whose status outpaces their statistical output, particularly of their stroll yr. Pete Alonso is the very best instance this offseason.
We landed on a five-year, $125MM prediction that ranked him seventh within the class. That appears to be beneath market consensus. Different estimates of Alonso’s incomes energy have landed within the $140MM to $170MM vary.* These align extra intently with the Polar Bear’s status as a star, placing him within the Freddie Freeman or Matt Olson bucket. Freeman landed a deferred $162MM contract from the Dodgers, whereas Olson’s extension with the Braves assured him $168MM over eight seasons.
Alonso doubtless expects to be paid equally. Joel Sherman of the New York Publish has reported that Alonso declined a seven-year, $158MM provide from the Mets in June 2023. That will have purchased out his closing arbitration season and 6 free agent years. Alonso collected $20.5MM for his final arbitration yr, so the extension proposal will be thought-about akin to $137.5MM over six seasons. As not too long ago as final summer season, Alonso and his earlier representatives felt he might do higher. (He has since employed the Boras Company.) He’ll have to buck some market traits for that to be the case.
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