Whether or not you’re setting your day by day fantasy soccer lineup otherwise you want only a bit extra info earlier than getting in on the NFL betting motion at your favourite sportsbook, we’ve obtained you coated right here at Professional Soccer Community with an important stats, notes, and insights for each NFL matchup of the Wild Card spherical.
Everyone knows how time-consuming gathering all the knowledge will be, which is why we’re doing the analysis for you so that you don’t should. Word that every one stats are from TruMedia except in any other case said.
Denver Broncos at Buffalo Payments
Denver Broncos
Workforce: Bo Nix obtained this group to 10 wins. Their final double-digit win season got here in 2015, a season that ended with a Tremendous Bowl.
QB: Bo Nix made NFL historical past as the primary QB with 3+ TD passes and 75% full in 4 video games as a rookie. He additionally matched the franchise report for such video games in a season (Peyton Manning had 4 such video games in each 2012 and 2013).
Bo Nix has 10 video games with 2+ passing TDs this season, one among solely two rookies to take action in NFL historical past (Justin Herbert, 2020). He is additionally the 2nd rookie all-time to have a number of video games with 300+ passing yards and 4+ passing TDs (Daniel Jones, 2019). 📈
Fairly the rookie season for… pic.twitter.com/0lelyccBr8
— Professional Soccer Community (@PFN365) January 6, 2025
Offense: Since Week 11, the Broncos have been the third-highest scoring group within the league (32.6 PPG).
Protection: The Broncos beat the Chiefs on Sunday, their first win this season in a sport by which they didn’t drive a turnover (misplaced the earlier 4).
Fantasy: Courtland Sutton has scored 18 instances on 225 targets over the previous two seasons (two seasons prior: 4 touchdowns on 207 targets).
Betting: Over the previous two months, the Broncos have two losses on normal-to-extended relaxation – an extra time loss to Joe Burrow and a two-point loss to Patrick Mahomes (GW 35-yard FGA was blocked on the buzzer).
Buffalo Payments
Workforce: The Payments have made the postseason in seven of eight seasons underneath Sean McDermott (he was employed with the franchise on a 17-year playoff drought).
QB: That is the sixth straight season by which Josh Allen is enjoying on Wild Card Weekend – he’s accomplished at the very least 70% of his passes in three of his previous 4, with a number of TD tosses in every of these contests (one landing go for each 13.5 makes an attempt throughout these 4 contests).
Offense: The primary 30-30 group in NFL historical past (passing and dashing touchdowns). Steadiness is nice till it’s not – solely twice in NFL historical past has a group with 30+ rush TDs received their convention (2022 Eagles and 1983 Commanders).
Protection: Excluding Week 18, when many of the starters had been very restricted, if not out altogether, the Buffalo defensive developments on third down are regarding.
Weeks 6-13: 36.5%
Weeks 14-17: 57.1% transformed
Fantasy: Take away the outlier shootout sport towards the Rams in Week 14 and Amari Cooper has been focused on simply 15.4% of his routes as a member of the Payments (Weeks 1-6 with Cleveland: 22.8%).
Betting: The Payments went 5-3 ATS at residence with overs going 6-2, a change of tempo from their 4-5 ATS mark and 3-6 overs report a season in the past.
Inexperienced Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles
Inexperienced Bay Packers
Workforce: It was a tough finish to the season, however the Packers posted their second-best level differential throughout the Matt LaFleur period (+122)
QB: In Weeks 11-16, Jordan Love’s pressured passer ranking was 107.2, a quantity that has plummeted to 53.6 in two consecutive losses to spherical out the common season.
Offense: Inexperienced Bay is simply 3-5 this season when failing to transform over one-third of its third downs (three-of-10 towards the Bears in Week 18).
Protection: The Packers misplaced on Sunday regardless of permitting simply 18.5 yards per drive (they had been 5-0 this season when permitting underneath 25 yards per drive prior).
Fantasy: Josh Jacobs has rushed for a landing in a franchise-record eight straight video games and is averaging 5.1 yards per carry over his previous three video games. He’s been ready so as to add worth within the passing sport, catching every of his previous 13 targets.
Betting: Since 2003, unders are 17-6-1 (73.9%) in Eagles playoff video games, the second highest fee amongst franchises with at the very least 5 playoff video games over that stretch (exception: Titans at 81.8%).
Philadelphia Eagles
Workforce: The Eagles have misplaced six of their previous eight playoff video games outright when favored (4 Wild Card video games are included in that pattern, all losses).
QB: Jalen Hurts (and the teaching employees) is trusting his reads longer, a continued development from the previous few seasons. His fast go fee in 2022 was 69.8% – it dipped to 61.7% in 2023 and completed this yr at 57.3%.
Offense: Philadelphia was outscored by 14 factors within the first quarter this season—simply one of many previous 12 Tremendous Bowl champions has had a unfavourable first-quarter level differential (2020 Buccaneers).
Protection: In Weeks 1-17, the Eagles had been 12-0 when permitting 2.0 or fewer factors per drive (1-3 in any other case).
Fantasy: Saquon Barkley led the place in top-10 PPR performances this season (10) regardless of not enjoying final week.
Betting: From 2013-20, residence groups on Wild Card weekend had been simply 8-17-3 ATS (32%), however since 2021, when the shift to an 18-week common season started, they’ve been 11-7 ATS (61.1%).
Los Angeles Chargers at Houston Texans
Los Angeles Chargers
Workforce: The +101 level differential posted by the Chargers this season is their finest since outscoring the opposition by 119 factors in 2010.
QB: Justin Herbert is the primary Chargers participant to finish two-thirds of his passes with 280 yards and a number of scores by the air in three straight video games (previous to him, it had been in consecutive video games 9 instances in franchise historical past).
Offense: Los Angeles has averaged over 3.0 factors per drive 3 times this season … Weeks 16-17-18.
Protection: Opponents have transformed simply 9 of 32 third downs over the previous three weeks (28.1%).
Fantasy: Ladd McConkey finishes his rookie season with three straight video games north of 85 receiving yards. His six such video games match the franchise report for a rookie (2013 Keenan Allen).
Betting: The Texans completed the common season 3-5 ATS at residence, with unders going 6-1-1.
Houston Texans
Workforce: The Texans are 1-6 of their final seven video games with C.J. Stroud underneath middle towards a profitable group and have been outscored 196-106 in these contests.
QB: C.J. Stroud threw 116 deep passes (15+ air yards) final season and 122 this season. The try rely was related, however the success fee was very totally different.
2023: 9 touchdowns and 0 interceptions
2024: 5 touchdowns and seven interceptions
Offense: Houston averages 1.81 factors per drive this season. After they attain that quantity, they’re 7-2 (3-5 in any other case).
Protection: The Texans are 9-1 this season when stopping the opposition on over 60% of their third down alternatives (1-6 in any other case).
Fantasy: Nico Collins has appeared in eight Texan victories this season, and in these video games, he’s produced 41.7% over PPR expectations.
Betting: Unders are 4-1 in Houston’s previous 5 video games.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens
Pittsburgh Steelers
Workforce: The 2011 Giants are the one group since 2000 to win a Tremendous Bowl in a season that included a four-game dropping streak (the Steelers have misplaced 4 straight, totaling simply 57 factors throughout these video games).
QB: Russell Wilson’s strain stats are a significant concern as we get into the postseason.
Passer ranking when pressured, Weeks 12-14: 120.7 (would lead the NFL)
Passer ranking when pressured, Weeks 15-18: 43.9 (worse than Kirk Cousins)
Offense: Saturday’s loss to the Bengals was Pittsburgh’s first this season when not turning the ball over (they received the primary 4 such situations, out-scoring opponents 100-44 in these video games).
Protection: The Steelers are 1-5 this season when permitting opponents to select up at the very least 37% of their third downs this season (lone win: Week 13 at Bengals).
Fantasy: The Najee Harris practice has run out of fuel, partly as a consequence of this offense:
Weeks 6-14: 4.2% manufacturing over expectation, 4.0 pink zone touches per sport
Weeks 15-18: 16.8% manufacturing under expectations, 2.0 pink zone touches per sport
Betting: Mike Tomlin doesn’t simply excel at profitable video games on the sector – his Steelers have posted a profitable ATS report in 10 of the previous 12 seasons (2024: 11-6, 64.7%).
Baltimore Ravens
Workforce: The UConn Huskies received a nationwide championship in 2023. Why does that matter? Additionally they received in 1999 and 2011, the season previous to the Ravens profitable their most up-to-date Tremendous Bowls.
QB: Within the final two seasons underneath Todd Monken, Lamar Jackson has been a unique QB:
2023-24: 66.9% full, 8.4 yards per try, 7.0% TD, 1.2% INT
Profession prior: 63.7% full, 7.4 yards per try, 6.1%, 2.3% INT
Offense: The Ravens turned the ball over at the very least as soon as in six of their first seven video games – they’ve carried out it in simply three of 10 video games since.
Protection: In Weeks 11-18, Baltimore allowed 1.38 factors per drive (Weeks 1-10: 2.30)
Fantasy: Since Week 12, Derrick Henry has been much more harmful than regular on the subject of chunk positive aspects.
Weeks 1-11: 37.6% of carries gained 5+ yards (11.7% gained 10+ yards)
Weeks 12-18: 49.2% of carries gained 5+ yards (17.2% gained 10+ yards)
Betting: No group cashed over tickets extra typically than the Ravens throughout the common season (13-4), fairly the change for a franchise that had extra unders than overs in every of the 4 seasons prior.
Washington Commanders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Washington Commanders
Workforce: In 12 months 1 of the Jayden Daniels period, the Commanders matched their win whole from the 2 seasons prior (12) and posted their finest level differential because the Tremendous Bowl champion 1991 group.
QB: Daniels has accomplished 27 of 36 passes (75%) towards the blitz throughout the present five-game win streak, a drastic enchancment from his 49.1% fee over the earlier 5 video games.
Offense: The Commanders have transformed eight of their final 9 fourth-down makes an attempt (4 for 4 over the previous two weeks).
Protection: Washington has held the opposition out of the top zone on at the very least half of their pink zone drives in 4 of their previous 5 video games (one TD on six such drives on Sunday towards Dallas).
Fantasy: Terry McLaurin caught 13 landing passes this season, greater than his finest two seasons mixed prior.
Betting: The Commanders have didn’t cowl three straight street video games after opening the season 3-1-1 ATS on the street.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Workforce: The Bucs haven’t misplaced a sport in regulation by greater than three factors since October.
QB: In 2021, Baker Mayfield accomplished 41.8% of his passes when underneath duress. His fee ticked as much as 45.1% in 2022, to 49% in 2023, and as much as 58% this season.
Offense: In Weeks 9-14, the Bucs picked up simply 38.3% of their third downs. Within the 4 weeks to shut the common season, that fee spiked to 61.4%.
Protection: Simply 3 times by 15 weeks did Tampa Bay fail to drive a turnover – they enter the postseason having failed to take action in every of their previous three.
Fantasy: Mayfield has thrown a number of landing passes in 5 straight video games, his second such streak this season.
Betting: Tampa Bay went 5-4 ATS at residence this season after going 5-11-1 over the earlier two seasons in entrance of their residence followers.
Minnesota Vikings at Los Angeles Rams
Minnesota Vikings
Workforce: Since Christmas Eve, 2023, the Vikings have been 0-5 towards groups for which Matthew Stafford has began a sport and 14-1 towards the opposite 29 groups within the NFL.
QB: In Week 7, Sam Darnold had as many touchdowns as interceptions in a loss the place his group allowed 31 factors to the Lions – he adopted it up together with his second-best passer ranking of the season in Los Angeles towards the Rams. He didn’t have any touchdowns or interceptions in Sunday’s 31-9 loss to the Lions …
Offense: In Weeks 14-17, Minnesota averaged 2.8 factors per drive (they managed simply 0.8 factors per drive in Detroit to wrap up the common season).
Protection: The Vikings have performed six video games towards playoff groups this season – their 4 worst points-per-drive defensive performances have are available these contests.
Fantasy: In Weeks 1-9, Justin Jefferson scored 33.8% extra PPR factors than anticipated primarily based on his goal weight-reduction plan. He’s nonetheless on the plus facet of issues since, however his +5.3% continues to be symbolic of a wrestle by his lofty requirements.
Betting: The Vikings didn’t cowl on Sunday evening, a sport that went underneath the entire, and that’s a uncommon prevalence – they had been 7-2 ATS in video games that noticed fewer factors than anticipated.
Los Angeles Rams
Workforce: The Rams are 2-3 of their previous 5 residence video games (they’ve received 5 straight on the street).
QB: Final season, Matthew Stafford accomplished 53.6% of his fourth-quarter passes with 5 touchdowns and two interceptions. This season, he’s related on 68.5% of his passes within the closing quarter-hour with eight touchdowns towards only one interception.
Offense: Los Angeles has scored a landing on simply 5 of their 14 journeys to the pink zone over their previous 4 video games.
Protection: Three of the Rams’ finest defensive showings this season by way of factors per drive got here in December (Weeks 15-16-17).
Fantasy: CeeDee Lamb, Ja’Marr Chase, and Amon-Ra St. Brown are the one receivers with extra yards and the next catch fee than Puka Nacua over the previous two seasons.
Betting: Beneath tickets are 6-3 in Los Angeles’ previous 9 playoff video games and have come by in every of the previous three such spots.
