FAAB Review: Week 19 – Baseball ProspectusBaseball Prospectus

Picture credit score: © Eric Canha-USA TODAY Sports activities

Welcome again to the FAAB Evaluation, the column that opinions the goings on in a number of analyst leagues within the hopes we may help you with your individual FAAB bidding course of and habits. This column will largely concentrate on The Nice Fantasy Baseball Invitational (TGFBI), a contest that comprises 31 leagues of 15 groups every and crowns an total champion on the finish of the common season. We’ll take a look at the ten hottest FAAB buys in these leagues each week. We’ll additionally concentrate on some highlights in Tout Wars AL and LABR NL, two deeper business leagues.

TGBFI and Tout Wars use a $1,000 FAAB price range, whereas LABR makes use of $100. Tout Wars additionally permits groups to position $0 bids. All three leagues run their FAAB weekly on Sundays.

TGFBIChase Silseth $22 (Max Successful Bid: $75. Min Successful Bid: $1)Silseth is a type of pitchers who seems like a sleeper, however he was Baseball Prospectus’ fourth ranked prospect within the Angels system heading into this 12 months. The scouting knock on him was that regardless of strong fastball velocity the pitch performed poorly due to lackluster motion and command. This 12 months, Silseth has compensated for that by relying closely on his slider, and he’s getting glorious outcomes. The strikeouts (26 in his final three begins, together with two 10+ strikeout performances) are what pop and make him price including in deeper leagues. He’s a borderline possibility in normal blended this week with a troublesome matchup in Houston.

Davis Schneider $19 ($66, $1)As a former twenty eighth spherical choose within the 2017 draft, Schneider is about as under-the-radar as you may get. Regardless of a excessive strikeout charge and common instruments at greatest, all he has carried out within the minors is sock the ball and 2023 was his greatest minor league season but. The Davis Schneider Expertise has continued within the majors, as he has two dwelling runs and is 9-for-13 in his first three large league video games. We all know it gained’t final, but it surely’s enjoyable to take these rides generally (and it’s fully potential he’s a starter the remainder of the best way for the Blue Jays).

Curtis Mead $17 ($47, $5)Mead received off to a gradual begin at AAA, missed practically two months because of a hand/wrist damage, after which got here charging off the IL like he had one thing to show, slashing .333/.433/.505. The Roto stats weren’t there even after the damage stint (one dwelling run and two steals in 127 PA) and this and the Rays penchant for job shares may tamp down Mead’s fantasy worth. I’d guess on the expertise however except you’re in an OBP league mood your expectations, particularly in redraft.

Carlos Hernandez $13 ($43, $1)With the commerce of Scott Barlow to the Padres, Hernandez might be the Royals new nearer (Austin Cox did choose up a save final week). Hernandez struggled mightily with command in his earlier life as a starter however appears to have solved for that within the pen and is now averaging near 100 miles-per-hour on his heater whereas largely abandoning his curve in favor of a slider he’s throwing within the excessive 80s. The unhealthy group/fewer save alternatives warning applies, however my guess is Hernandez will get a lot of the save probabilities for Kansas Metropolis if he’s efficient.

Jake Bauers $13 ($57, $1)Previous to this season, Bauers was a borderline main leaguer whose main talent was an excellent batting eye. Bauers has offered out for energy and is socking dwelling runs, significantly within the second half because the stroll charge has began dropping. It helps that he’s enjoying largely in opposition to righties, but it surely additionally isn’t only a Yankee Stadium factor, as he has 5 of his 11 homers on the street. Bauers is a matchup play when the Yankees have lots of righties on the slate, and so they get 5 of them this week in a six-game schedule.

Hyun Jin Ryu $13 ($41, $1)Ryu was an extremely underrated fantasy starter from 2018-2020 earlier than accidents minimize him down. He’s again with the Blue Jays and was underwhelming in his first begin. The issue with making an attempt to investigate Ryu is that he was by no means a excessive velocity arm so you may’t merely level to diminished velocity and say the stuff is not there. He will get a two begin week in Cleveland and in opposition to the Cubs and it’s best to sit him except you’re determined for wins.

Cole Ragans $10 ($35, $1)Ragans was a prime prospect for the Rangers means again in 2019 but it surely by no means materialized for him inside their group. He’s now with the Royals and was languishing within the bullpen earlier than Kansas Metropolis pushed him into the rotation. In two begins, Ragans appeared strong in opposition to the Rays and nice in opposition to the tanking Mets. He has maintained his velocity as a starter, however the factor that jumped out in his begin in opposition to the Mets was utilization of a slider that made it tough for New York to make contact. On paper Ragans is a sit virtually in all places, however for those who want Ok’s, it’s price playing on the potential for those who’re making a playoff push.

Luis Medina $8 ($21, $1)Medina is a repeater from final week’s FAAB column, as extra fantasy squads have taken discover of his latest run of robust performances. He stumbled considerably yesterday in opposition to the Giants because of shaky command however remains to be price contemplating for a strong matchup this week in Washington.

Brice Turang $8 ($21, $1)For those who checked out his season stats, you’d ignore what has been a disappointing participant. For those who’re in deep leagues and scouring the wire for any morsel you may get, you’ve certainly seen that in his final 62 PA Turang has a .314/.419/.451 slash line with two dwelling runs and three steals. That is small pattern dimension evaluation folly, however additionally it is the kind of factor we have to cling to once we’re on the lookout for hope. The hope for those who seize Turang is that he retains stealing bases and that the typical is appropriate.

Zack Littell $7 ($17, $1)Littell is somewhat totally different than your typical reclamation Rays pitching story in that he had some success within the majors as a reliever. Reasonably than taking a minor leaguer and reinventing him the Rays merely have leveraged Littell’s stuff that labored within the pen in a beginning position. He’s stretched out now so must be in line for some wins in opposition to weaker opponents if nothing else. He has a house begin in opposition to the rebuilding Cardinals this week.

Tout ALJustin Verlander $768 (Different Bids: $442, $392, $380, $275, $254, $155, $0)Jack Flaherty $442 ($240, $93, $1)Randall Grichuk $392 ($285, $197, $158, $155, $71, $61, $16, $0, $0)C.J. Cron $285 ($276, $267, $158, $155, $139, $19, $0)Paul DeJong $158 ($121, $60, $31, $9, $1, $0)Luis Urias $135 ($121, $47, $16, $9, $1)Davis Schneider $111 ($33, $10, $0)Cole Ragans $81 ($44, $9)Dominic Canzone $59 ($14, $13, $9, $0)Chase Silseth $53 ($30)Josh Rojas $49 ($49, $11, $0)Beau Brieske $41 ($10)Jesse Scholtens $23Pablo Reyes $10Jason Foley $9 ($0)Xzavion Curry $5Chad Wallach $2Trayce Thompson $2 ($2)Austin Cox $1Aaron Bummer $1Kole Calhoun $0 ($0)Justin Topa $0Tommy Kahnle $0Jay Jackson $0Chris Stratton $0

Ready for an enormous prize paid within the AL when Verlander was not too surprisingly traded by the Mets. The chance in ready for him was that the Dodgers might need jumped into the fray, however they didn’t (or maybe Verlander leveraged his no commerce clause to push for a commerce to Houston because of familiarity) and AL groups ready for an ace jumped for pleasure.

The opposite NL imports weren’t unhealthy however include query marks. Cron and Grichuk transfer out of Colorado and take an apparent worth hit because of the lack of Coors whereas Flaherty is a wild card regardless of his nice Orioles debut. DeJong and Urias each have some worth if they’re enjoying however Bo Bichette’s damage may not be too severe and Urias may return to the minors as soon as Trevor Story is able to go later this week.

LABR NLJosh Bell $33 (Different Bids: $24, $18, $16, $7, $2)Paul Sewald $32 ($31, $26, $24, $19, $16, $7, $6)Jake Burger $31 ($18, $16, $7, $2)Michael Lorenzen $31 ($22, $18, $16, $12, $6, $4, $3, $2)Brendan Rodgers $24 ($18, $16, $11, $2)Johan Rojas $20 ($2)Lyon Richardson $10Jake Alu $7 ($3, $1)Alfonso Rivas $6 ($1)Ryan Yarbrough $6 ($3)Seranthony Dominguez $6 ($4)Jace Peterson $4 ($3)Alika Williams $1Scott Barlow $1Scott McGough $1

My main goal was Sewald and I received him by a hair, narrowly beating out Brian Walton of Inventive Sports activities by $1. Walton managed to take his remaining $62 and cut up it into my second and third FAAB decisions, Burger and Lorenzen. Looking back, I ought to have put in $20-25 alternate bids on Lorenzen and Burger; it could have been pricey if Walton didn’t bid $31 on each and a type of two went to one of many three groups forward of me within the standings.

Rodgers was dropped for a FAAB reclaim, which is why he was obtainable. This was one of many extra aggressive FAAB durations we now have had all season lengthy, even with out the AL imports. Rojas might be a terrific velocity play the remainder of the best way, whereas Alu and Rivas each may earn vital enjoying time down the stretch.