2:01
: Hey everybody, welcome to my final chat of the yr
2:02
: 2024 was an superior yr of baseball, and I’m going to recollect it fairly fondly, so when you’ve got any yr in assessment kind questions, ship them my method
2:03
: within the meantime, let’s reply some common questions
2:03
: ought to I recover from it and commerce Coby mayo for an SP like Stop or Castillo? Or hoard prospects and hope they work out and signal a lesser SP like Flaherty?
2:03
: What are we doing?! Can we not commerce extra from our huge league roster (Mountcastle, Heston, Ramon urias) and/or prospects for pitching? Is anybody apart from Jackson and basallo off limits? Who ought to we goal?
2:03
: Ah sure, “Right here’s Ramon Urias, give me one of the best pitcher you possibly can for him”
2:03
: sadly, that wouldn’t get too far
2:03
: I feel that the O’s are in an fascinating spot. The actual factor I would like them to do is signal some gamers to extensions
2:04
: I appreciated their commerce for Burnes, for instance, and I wouldn’t hate seeing them replicate that, however one factor I really feel very certain about is that they shouldn’t do half measures
2:04
: Half of Adley’s group management is gone. 1/3 of Gunnar’s. You might have a uncommon alternative. The current issues
2:04
: If Shohei pitches most of a full season at an aceish stage, may he win Comeback Participant of the 12 months the season after profitable back-to-back unanimous MVPs? Appears very on-brand.
2:05
: I do know all of it is dependent upon value, nevertheless it feels just like the Purple Sox ought to double down and get Burnes, no? Saved cash by buying and selling for Crochet, a number of elite place participant prospects on the cusp of the MLB. Burnes-Crochet 1-2 feels prefer it will get you fairly dang far in each the common and postseason.
2:05
: I feel that they’re in want of extra gamers
2:05
: pitcher? Bregman? Teo? I don’t have an excellent robust tackle which choice they need to take
2:05
: however this isn’t an excellent group as it’s
2:05
: Will the Yanks remorse not topping the Cubs provide for Tucker? Reportedly they balked at Gil and Lombardi.
2:06
: If that reporting is true, I feel that was an enormous error on their half
2:06
: they even have nice proof of how properly a commerce for a FA-to-be famous person can work out
2:06
: Why is the SP market a lot hotter this yr than final, when Snell and Montgomery signed so late? Are groups prioritizing clear Sport 1/2 playoff starters, no matter value or age? Whereas the pen market has been gradual to develop. An fascinating shift from the current mantra to not overpay pitchers…
2:07
: Yeah, I’m shocked. I assume we’ll have to attend for another high hitters to signal to see whether or not it’s the entire market being scorching or simply the pitchers who’ve signed thus far
2:07
: In a vacuum, ought to the Mets (a) resign Pete, (b) signal Bregman and shift Vientos, or (c) tackle the void through commerce (e.g., Arenado)?
2:08
: I feel I like B most of those choices
2:08
: nevertheless it relies upon what the marketplace for Arenado seems like
2:09
: Hey Ben, simply wished to let you recognize that you just seem within the background proper across the 2:30 mark of the video clip on the high of this text.
2:09
: Hey Davy! Spectacular spot
2:09
: I puzzled what sort of angle these cameras had been capturing, I assume now I do know
2:10
: I really feel like they had been completely positioned to cdatch everything of the gang milling round
2:10
: Solely two defensive shift violations had been referred to as final season (each after supervisor challenges and each within the span of ~per week)–does that appear low?
2:10
: not likely… you possibly can simply take a look at the place you’re standing, which appears to make it rather a lot tougher to by accident run afoul of
2:10
: Does anybody know the foundations by which group names reference a metropolis or state? Might the As theoretically briefly rebrand because the Sacramento As?
2:10
: I consider they may have, becuase they selected to simply be referred to as the athletics as an alternative of including at eam identify
2:10
: a metropolis identify, reasonably
2:11
: I really like the Stroll-Off function you all added, although I’m slightly unhappy I got here one proportion level wanting platinum standing. Are you aware what number of days had been lined by it? I do know it’s wanting a full yr, and I simply wished to know what number of days I didn’t go to Fangraphs?
2:11
: I feel we lower it off two Saturdays in the past
2:11
: Hey, Ben. Brent Rooker good for 50 HR’s in Sacramento? Completely happy holidays.
2:11
: that may be a LOT of dwelling runs
2:12
: greater than Statcast thinks he would have hit if he performed the entire season in Cincy final yr
2:12
: so I’m gonna say no. I don’t assume the park goes to be one of the best hitter’s park in baseball or something. Only a lot friendlier than the Coliseum
2:13
: Kyle Tucker: set-your-watch-by-him 5 warfare all star, or going-forward 8 warfare superstud?
2:13
: for me, the primary
2:13
: display the second earlier than I’m keen to consider it, you recognize?
2:14
: Greatest christmas tune?
2:14
: I’ve just a few contenders, I’ll give my spouse credit score for these as a result of I wasn’t an enormous Christmas tune particular person as a child
2:15
: Christmas Wrapping by the Waitresses, Merry Christmas by Elton John and Ed Sheeran, Fairytale of New York by the Pogues, and your entire Sia Christmas album are my go tos
2:15
: Purple Sox don’t have a shortstop. Dbacks have two. Dbacks additionally want a primary baseman. Who says no to a Geraldo Perdomo for Tristian Casas commerce?
2:15
: by like, rather a lot
2:16
: I feel Casas is simply higher along with having an additional yr of management
2:16
: Submit Kyle Tucker commerce: The Cubs outfield is LOADED. Do you assume Bellinger/Suzuki are probably to be moved?
2:17
: Sure I do. Final week, Seiya’s agent talked about that he was not keen on being a full-time DH, and that he’d particularly regarded to keep away from that when he signed his free company contract
2:17
: I feel that places them in an enormous bind, tbh
2:18
: there’s simply nowhere for him to play. I feel that they’re going to finish up buying and selling him, most likely for not that a lot as a result of it’s a clumsy marketplace for nook OF bats with some good free brokers obtainable for contending groups nonetheless
2:18
: I’d make a transfer to get Kyle Tucker each time nonetheless, however they positively must make some extra strikes given present roster development
2:19
: as an angels fan ive been dreading a nolan areando commerce. is there a commerce you assume might be win-win? cuz i solely see catastrophe brewing
2:19
: no. Arenado to the Angels solely is smart as a result of he’s from there
2:20
: I really like that he talked about how a lot he wished to win, then gave an inventory of groups that had a bunch of groups that eclipsed .500 and have legit WS aspirations
2:20
: after which the Angels
2:20
: like, you possibly can simply say you want the place you’re from, that’s okay too
2:20
: Everyone knows the Pirates aren’t gonna provide sufficient {dollars} for teoscar/santander, the primary cleanup type nook OFs in FA. Aav most likely 20-30. Assuming they may afford a AAV nearer to 10-20, who’re some commerce targets who make sense?
2:20
: what about Seiya???
2:20
: What are your ideas on the Horwitz deal from the pirates POV? Strong sufficient leadoff hitter at 1b for just a few years?
2:21
: that is the type of commerce you make when you recognize you’re not going to spend any actual cash in FA, for my part
2:21
: he’s a wonderfully affordable blah bat, if he finally ends up as a rotational participant that’s positive
2:21
: when you’re relying on him as one among your greatest hitters, you probably did one thing mistaken
2:21
: Even with Soto, the Mets nonetheless want pitching. They’ve received Senga and a bunch of query marks. Is that this group actually a contender with out additional additions?
2:21
: I imply…. why would we count on no additional additions
2:22
: It’s December 16 and 17 of the highest 50 free brokers have signed
2:22
: ‘is that this group actually a contender’ yeah the group that simply made the NLCS, signed Juan Soto, and nonetheless has a payroll almost 100 million decrease than final yr’s is a contender
2:23
: WRT your O’s Adley window response…aren’t the Pirates in an identical spot with Skenes’ window only a few years earlier? Couldn’t the 2 groups match up properly on say a (one among) Jared Jones/Mitch Keller for Coby Mayo kind of deal together with different items to make it work?
2:23
: I don’t actually perceive why the Pirates would do that
2:23
: I imply, until the O’s simply bowled them over with worth. However the O’s don’t try this. they particularly attempt to win each commerce
2:23
: Within the case of Bellinger, can money be conditionally added to the deal based mostly on decide in years?
2:24
: It could possibly. The Arenado-to-the-Playing cards deal had the Rockies kicking in a special amount of money based mostly on whether or not he exercised his decide out. Equally, the Mets had some conditional money on Verlander’s commerce to the Astros
2:24
: What was probably the most impactful commerce of 2024?
2:24
: The preseason Soto commerce
2:24
: not solely did it spearhead the Yankees, nevertheless it gave the Padres a head begin on rebuilding their rotation, and the 2 mixed had enormous impacts in each leagues
2:25
: What was probably the most shocking second of 2024 for you? Most shocking storyline?
2:25
: Shohei going 50/50 shocked me. I didn’t even take into account him a contender for it
2:25
: I feel that probably the most shocking storyline for me was Skenes turning into one of the best pitcher in baseball (ish)
2:25
: I used to be too low on him heading into the yr
2:25
: The information that the Astros are in on the Arenado sweepstakes (if that’s what we’re calling them I assume) was not shocking, however the timing appeared off with the shifting Tucker straight earlier than it got here out. Any concepts on a possible return for him can be when the Cardinals transfer him?
2:26
: Yeah…. truthfully I may completely see this, the Astros appear to be going full thrift mode out of nowhere
2:26
: and perhaps they’ll get the Cardinals to eat a bunch of cash, kick in some prospects, and try this
2:26
: one factor I’m interested in is whether or not they assume Paredes can play third
2:27
: I feel he can, and if he’s na common defender on the market, I don’t fairly perceive the impetus to maneuver a bunch of items to get Arenado
2:27
: but when they assume he’s higher suited to first base, then I prefer it extra
2:27
: Did you get a adequate (literal) take a look at Andres Chaparro in his cup of espresso final season to audibly giggle on the “If Chaparro can play third base” qualifier in right this moment’s ZIPS Nationals write up?
2:27
: I watched a variety of Nats video games within the second half of the yr
2:28
: What do you suppose is the first purpose for the Playing cards to maneuver Arenado this offseason? Wage reduction? Honor his need for a profitable group? There’s an opportunity Arenado is value extra subsequent offseason, as his common wage is decrease and perhaps (?) his offense improves in 2025.
2:28
: Yeah, wage reduction and since he requested to be traded
2:28
: The mariners appear to have put it on the market that they might commerce Luis Castillo for actual impression, doubtless at 3B or 2B. Do you assume that commerce truly exists? It’s laborious to ascertain prying guys like Westburg or Mayo (who may not even be 3B) from Os or Vientos from the Mets
2:28
: Nah, I don’t see it taking place
2:28
: The Mariners may at all times utterly change their methods, nevertheless it’s clear that they worth pitching EXTREMELY extremely
2:29
: so certain, they might commerce Castillo for actual impression
2:29
: however they could assume actual impression is like, Brice Turang + Joey Ortiz
2:29
: Which group has one of the best bandwagoners to haters ratio going into 2025?
2:29
: the Padres, perhaps?
2:29
: it’s a very good query
2:30
: I’d prefer to push again on the Suzuki factor… I feel he’s the 2nd greatest hitter on the group and may definitely break up time with Tucker in proper subject. As a cubs fan I might take rather a lot in return like stable third baseman or a high 2 starter on the rotation
2:30
: okay, what if he tells you “I don’t wish to play DH, I’m requesting a commerce if I’m not going to be an outfielder”
2:30
: I feel Seiya is nice, I’m constantly making dumb predictions about how good he’ll be
2:30
: however I don’t know, they’re like a fantasy group that by accident ended up with 5 first basemen
2:30
: you possibly can’t simply go eh, it’ll work
2:31
: I’d choose to have all the nice gamers on my group. however I dunno, are you gonna ask Tucker to DH? Bench Ian Happ?
2:31
: Is it troublesome to maneuver a participant like vientos from third to first?
2:31
: I don’t consider so, no
2:31
: there aren’t a variety of examples of men NOT having the ability to adapt to first
2:31
: Why the curiosity in Jesus Luzardo? He’s consistently injured.
2:32
: so, I’m with you
2:32
: I simply don’t see it. However lots of people do
2:32
: he has electrical stuff and he’s had some good outcomes when he can keep wholesome, which is certainly occasionally
2:32
: Do you assume Bergman is starting to say no? I’m not offered on him for the Mets in the event that they go that method?
2:32
: Promote me on the Yankees needing to crawl to Bregman and pay famous person cash for a man who isn’t producing like a famous person
2:32
: alright, I assume the pitch is that this
2:33
: Bregman’s final three years: 5.4 WAR, 4.5 WAR, 4.1 WAR
2:33
: Yankees who’ve hit 4.1 WAR in any of the final three years:
2:33
: Aaron Choose (3x), Juan Soto
2:34
: It is unnecessary to maintain Helsley, sure?
2:34
: Not NO sense, however let me put it this manner: I’d settle for 90 cents on the greenback to commerce him
2:35
: it’s not out of the query that they’d get a greater return by ready for the deadline, and that’s fascinating to me
2:35
: however they appear critical sufficient about retooling that maintaining a more in-depth, and a dominant one, doesn’t actually observe with what I’d be attempting to do
2:35
: An actual query – Are you a much bigger believer in Herz, Parker, Irvin, or not one of the above being a member of the following contending Nats rotation? 2026… please? I lean Herz b/c of the bat lacking, although it is available in a bizarre method (I feel he throws one fastball at… 5 totally different velocities?)
2:36
: I feel it’s Herz? It’s him or Parker for me
2:36
: I feel the Rays can have enormous quantity of rain delays this yr which can put an additional pressure on all their pitchers (and certain make them underperform. Do you agree?
2:36
: I don’t know the way precisely they’re gonna deal with it, however they handle to play FSL video games with out blowing folks’s arms out
2:36
: I feel they’ll most likely be capable to determine it out, although I do agree that on the margin it received’t be perfect
2:37
: Do you assume Milwaukee may have gotten a greater bundle for Williams? A deal together with a high 100 prospect and different items?
2:37
: I feel that the deal they received is RIGHT consistent with what they want
2:37
: they struggled mightily within the rotation final yr they usually simply can not afford to signal folks given their funds constraints
2:37
: they’re attempting to win yearly
2:37
: they appear to have a window proper now, too: the Cardinals are taking a step again and the opposite groups haven’t fairly gotten issues collectively but
2:38
: “oh this man is a high 100 prospect” might be not as interesting to them as a complementary and fairly good prospect (Durbin) plus a rotation starter for this yr
2:38
: I like the best way you characterised the Devin Williams commerce, with the Brewers rotating the wheel of efficient pitchers. However in some unspecified time in the future, when you simply preserve staying on the similar stage, you’ll at all times get the identical outcomes. Sooner or later, don’t they must go all-in (or no less than be additive, reasonably than attempting to keep up establishment)?
2:39
: Philosophical query, actually
2:39
: Would you reasonably get a ton of so-so bites on the apple, or go extra boom-bust?
2:39
: I keep in mind considering, when the Stearns period began, that his plan of not likely bottoming out and attempting to compete instantly was novel and enjoyable
2:39
: I feel this may be a grass is at all times greener scenario right here. I’m an enormous fan of taking pictures when you possibly can, and I utterly agree that the Brewers refuse to try this
2:40
: however I positively perceive their perspective
2:40
: they actually wish to be aggressive and convey the followers out yearly
2:40
: Thanks for all of the enjoyable in chat and on the web site this yr. 5 issues was my favourite learn each week. Z Lowe can be proud
2:40
: Thanks very a lot
2:41
: 5 issues could be very laborious to put in writing, simply because the concept era a part of it takes a really very long time and the giffing isn’t computerized, nevertheless it’s additionally my favourite factor to put in writing, so it really works out
2:41
: What are you trying ahead to most, personally, in 2025?
2:42
: I’m gonna restrict this to baseball
2:43
: as a result of if not, it’s my journey to Scandinavia that I’m planning
2:43
: however: I’m excited to see what Ohtani does again on the mound
2:43
: and I’m very excited to see a Chapman/Adames infield in particular person often
2:43
: Any predictions for DeGrom this yr? I preserve seeing stuff like he’s nonetheless a high 7 or 8 pitcher in baseball.
2:44
: I feel he’ll nonetheless be one of the best pitcher in baseball on a price foundation
2:44
: I actually do not know how you can handicap his well being
2:44
: I’m going to be very excited to observe, although
2:44
: I used to be nervous that might be your reply, that Bregman’s “down years” are nonetheless higher than anyone on the group not named Choose. I simply fear they’ll must pay him like a famous person and it’ll forestall them from going after Tucker in free company as a result of “Oops, we spent all our cash!” faux austerity nonsense.
2:44
: yeah I imply, that’s all properly and good, however they can’t run the group again as is imo
2:44
: Choose is nice RIGHT NOW
2:44
: give him some assist
2:45
: Do you assume subsequent low season’s free agent market may be cooler with the CBA being only one yr from finished, or is there no causation there?
2:45
: I feel it is dependent upon how the interior conversations are going, and in addition very importantly on how the television deal fallout is that time
2:45
: Tucker put up a 180RC+ final yr with good fielding and baserunning. His fluke shin harm apart, is he proper up there with Soto as among the best gamers in the intervening time?
2:45
: properly a method of it’s simply projections. He has a 5.1 WAR projection over 672 PA. Soto is at 6.8 WAR in 686
2:46
: Tucker’s WAR projection is fifteenth in baseball, in order that’s positively star stage
2:46
: And when you aren’t as bullish on the assorted defensive worth changes propping folks up, you might dock Cal Raleigh, Michael Harris, and William Contreras out of that listing and get him to twelfth
2:47
: however let’s put it this manner: in an abbreviated season, Tucker put up one of the best numbers of his profession, by 30+ factors of wRC+, and projection methods assume that most likely he’s not abruptly that good on a go-forward foundation
2:48
: in a full season, Soto put up one of the best full season of his profession (not so good as 2020 on a price foundation), however by meaningfully much less
2:48
: and our projection methods assume he’ll be not too removed from the hitter he’s been most of his profession, although they appear to love his plate discipline-driven producdtion slightly extra on a go-forward foundation
2:49
: both method, each are nice. However the truth that SOto has 4 seasons higher than Tucker’s greatest season, and is youthful, most likely signifies that Soto is best
2:49
: With a final place end, and one of many worst farm methods, ought to the Jays begin a fireplace sale and attempt to get some worth for his or her high property?
2:50
: If Vlad just isn’t keen on an extension, then perhaps
2:50
: if he’s: you don’t get Vlads fairly often, perhaps pay him and preserve attempting to win
2:50
: how can the cubs ‘be going all in’ per the post-Tucker commerce reporting and but nonetheless deal with the CBT like a wage cap? It’s like we’re rooting for the brewers besides, ya know, with out the division titles.
2:50
: No, the Brewers are method higher at maximizing their roster
2:51
: however yeah, kinda wild imo
2:51
: Re: the what are they going to do, ask Tucker to DH/Happ to take a seat often, remark – I assume Tucker being an upcoming FA is a wrinkle in what I’m about to say, however are we… overrating the human factor there? Like, they’re handsomely paid… the Cubs ought to most likely be capable to ask them EXACTLY that lol. I really feel like we additionally simply discovered from the Reds that there’s no such factor as an excessive amount of depth/simply let these items work themselves out as a result of they doubtless will
2:51
: okay so, you might at all times attempt that
2:51
: one wrinkle is the funds factor
2:51
: and clearly the Reds weren’t in love with their experiment b/c they went forward and traded India as quickly as they didn’t have urgent harm points
2:52
: however the human factor issues! additionally they’re attempting laborious to re-sign Tucker and in addition presumably to seek out some contract extensions for younger and good gamers
2:52
: they usually’d inevitably stunt PCA’s progress by doing this
2:52
: one place the place the Reds differed is that it was fairly apparent who wanted probably the most enjoying time (Elly, McLain)
2:52
: and people man shappened to be the younger gamers
2:53
: I feel what I meant with the suzuki take was that Happ, PCA will preserve their jobs with Bellinger being traded.
2:53
: so in the event that they commerce Bellinger, I assume issues get slightly simpler
2:53
: however that’s nonetheless one among Seiya, Happ, or Tucker DH’ing a ton
2:53
: Bellinger to the Yankees, perhaps?
2:54
: holy cow Cubbies. In the event that they land Luzardo, do you assume they personal the NLC? How would tank them in opposition to your entire NL if they’ve Luzardo?
2:54
: Perhaps I’m only a dummy, however touchdown Luzardo wouldn’t transfer the needle a lot for me in any respect
2:55
: I’m not an enormous MIchael Busch believer, and for no matter purpose I can’t speak myself into Hoerner although I feel the information disagrees with me
2:55
: however I do assume they’re co-favorites within the NLC with the Brewers
2:56
: Pete Alonso doesn’t have a lot of a market does he simply return to the Mets on a Bellinger kind deal?
2:56
: Yeah, I feel that’s within the playing cards, though “doesn’t have a lot of a market” is fairly theoretical at this level
2:56
: Is Kerry Carpenter nearer to a future star or full time platoon participant?
2:56
: i believe he’s nearer to a future star
2:56
: I don’t assume he *IS* one, essentially
2:57
: however when you hit that properly in opposition to righties, I’m gonna allow you to bat in opposition to lefties too
2:57
: Do you assume free agent market “greenback per WAR” calculations miss the purpose? I get how there’s a market common, however every group’s personal {dollars}/WAR tolerance would appear to rely on their funds + skill to develop (low-cost) expertise internally by way of the minors
2:59
: I truly wrote about this just a few years in the past
2:59
: Giants one way or the other solely at $167M for subsequent yr. They gotta get Burnes and get again within the playoffs, no?
2:59
: I feel that they need to completely be attempting to make the playoffs
3:00
: I feel that signing Burnes makes a variety of sense, too
3:00
: and never simply selfishly b/c I wish to watch him, although additionally that
3:00
: Ginny Searle had a fairly good take at BP in regards to the Seiya scenario. If Bellinger’s moved, between Tucker backing up CF on off days for PCA, Tucker and Happ DHing now and again, and inevitable accidents, Seiya can most likely get 600ish innings within the OF whilst a major DH. It simply is dependent upon what number of innings he must be joyful.
3:00
: Ginny’s stuff is nice, and I suppose that is smart if they’ll commerce Bellinger
3:01
: in concept, Bellinger’s market might be not enormous
3:01
: provided that he selected to remain on a participant choice
3:01
: however perhaps they’ll pay some down (hahahahha Cubs followers, enjoyable joke about your group being cost-insensitive) or simply let him go for nothing?
3:01
: Additionally $/warfare appears totally different for hitters and pitchers. Having one quantity doesn’t mirror that imo.
3:02
: I’ve finished some checking of this previously, and the actual divide is relievers vs. different
3:02
: beginning pitchers and hitters truly are available fairly shut within the years I’ve checked
3:03
: On the subject of replicating the Burnes commerce, may the O’s get Stop or Valdez with a bundle like Kjerstad, Suarez and a draft choose or 45 FV prospect? Clearly Suarez isn’t as engaging as DL Corridor however he’s low-cost rotation depth for a group giving up a starter and Kjerstad appears like the fitting stage of headliner for a very good rental?
3:03
: I feel they may, that feels like an inexpensive return
3:03
: I feel the Padres would most likely try this in the event that they like Kjerstad
3:03
: Is Verdugo washed already? The place does he go from right here?
3:03
: yeah, washed imo
3:04
: Your ideas on Julio Rodriguez? He’s solely 23 yrs outdated however doesn’t appear to be a stud OF. Nonetheless room for enchancment?
3:04
: I feel we’re seeing various things trying on the similar man
3:04
: He seems like a stud OF to me
3:04
: Will EV90 ever be added to FG?
3:05
: it’s on our listing of stuff, we de-prioritized it to focus extra on getting the assorted stuff metrics onto the location in helpful methods however I’ll carry it up once more in some unspecified time in the future b/c I actually prefer it as a stat
3:05
: If I’m making a visit to AZ for Spring Coaching, are there sure ballparks I ought to prioritize visiting?
3:05
: I’m not probably the most educated, Eric is best, however: I really like Salt River FIelds
3:05
: I noticed Acuna hit a homer in AFL there as soon as, it was superior
3:05
: noticed Nicky Lopez hit a homer too, it was a a lot much less spectacular homer
3:06
: Do you assume $/WAR equals out between Def WAR and Off WAR as a result of perhaps I’m mistaken however I might positively pay extra for Off WAR then Def WAR
3:06
: Yeah, this I agree with
3:06
: I feel that the market, fairly moderately, feels offensive warfare is extra secure
3:06
: What’s your tackle Hayden Birdsong? Giants of us appear to assume he’s received one other gear. Prospect hounds don’t appear so sanguine. What would you count on from the child over the following couple years?
3:07
: I received some free tickets to a Giants recreation final yr by way of a buddy and who was sitting in entrance of us? Birdsong’s total household, all carrying Birdsong jerseys
3:07
: both that or only a ton of followers who all went REALLY out of their solution to get a customized jersey of a rookie making his first begin
3:09
: I feel that I’d be keen to invest on him having one other gear, it’s removed from a given and I perceive why he wasn’t an enormous, can’t miss prospect however he feels to me like a type of guys that might abruptly be a lot better if they may simply add slightly command
3:09
: it’s no provided that it’ll occur, however I like a number of of his pitches and his aggression. I simply assume the ball doesn’t go the place he desires typically sufficient for all of it to work but
3:09
: Is it protected to imagine that the Cubs aren’t even half method by way of their huge strikes?
3:09
: when it comes to variety of trades, perhaps
3:09
: when it comes to whole impression, Tucker goes to be greater than half of the entire strikes, so I’d say they’re greater than half by way of
3:10
: Over/underneath Angels playoff over the following ten years: 0.5
3:10
: What do you consider the Woo rumors? The provide is outwardly Woo for Casas, Luis Guerrero, and Allan Castro
3:11
: I don’t have an excellent purpose for this, however I’ve been slightly decrease than consensus on Woo
3:11
: I don’t have a powerful view on Guerrero or Castro, both
3:11
: so I’d say I’m most likely the mistaken particular person to ask on this one… however I like Casas, and assume that he’s an inexpensive headliner for younger pitching if the throw-ins are fascinating to the group buying and selling a pitcher
3:12
: The Purple Sox received 81 video games final yr and simply added a key a part of the equation. I see them as contenders if Anthony or Campbell flip into Jackson Merrill, and do you see them getting something out of Giolito?
3:12
: yeah, I feel they’re contenders for certain, partiuclarly after they add yet another hitter, which I feel they’ll do
3:14
: actually laborious to know with Giolito
3:14
: you must assume zero-ish given the harm timeline, however with enormous error bars
3:14
: Learn a rumor that Padres had been buying Bogaerts. I’m guessing he would approve a commerce again to Boston. Would a framework work round Bogaerts and stop for story, Casas and yoshida?
3:14
: I have to be lacking one thing
3:14
: why would the Padres do htis?
3:16
: they’re buying and selling one of the best participant within the deal (Stop) and never even saving a lot cash
3:16
: paying MORE cash within the brief time period
3:16
: Story is fairly clearly worse than Bogaerts for 2025
3:16
: Yoshida is at greatest a query mark
3:17
: this commerce would make the Padres rather a lot worse within the brief time period, it’d create a clumsy positional logjam at first/DH, and it could contain buying and selling a pitcher they’re hoping will get them a very good prospect or pivot piece to one way or the other make shortstop worse?
3:18
: You’d count on a few jersey numbers to be retired in case your group makes 7 straight ALCS and wins two World Collection. After this newest run, anybody apart from Altuve and doubtlessly Yordan get theirs retired by the Astros?
3:18
: like positively him
3:19
: perhaps Verlander, he felt like a key a part of these runs
3:19
: I’ve been huge on Josh Naylor to the Giants, perhaps for a few mid stage SP prospects. Does this make sense to you?
3:19
: It doesn’t actually, for 2 causes. One, I’m simply not a Naylor believer. This may occasionally or is probably not rational
3:20
: two, I feel LaMonte Wade does a variety of what he does, and arguably higher
3:20
: however at worst, at an identical stage
3:21
: I feel that the Giants can be higher served to deal with their rotation or maybe attempt to get one other star outfielder to pair with Ramos flanking JHL in heart
3:22
: and provided that the farm just isn’t wildly deep, buying and selling significant items for a 1b/DH feels prefer it’s a stretch
3:22
: How do you assume groups course of the not-trading-in-the-division standard knowledge? Tie-breaker? Demand extra worth? Simply don’t take into account it? Would like to see Suzuki in Cincinnati.
3:22
: I feel it’s a tiebreaker, or near it
3:23
: I may see that commerce figuring out perhaps, it actually is dependent upon what the Cubs wish to do. I feel that shifting Bellinger would occur first probably
3:23
: Few issues have shocked me greater than the value of mediocre pitching this low season. I assumed that the Giolito deal final winter couldn’t be topped however $67 million for Severino has challenged it and that is with starters getting used principally as not far more than openers. It’s loopy.
3:23
: Severino most likely received an A’s increase, however even together with him, I’m with you
3:23
: ought to/will the tigers make a transfer to consolidate expertise right into a 3-win participant? given the abundance of younger position gamers and lack of above-average regulars (esp within the infield), and in addition the cash to spend on a FA in the event that they vacate a beginning roster spot, this appears like a should in the event that they’re critical about competing
3:24
: they need to have gone nuts attempting to get Kyle Tucker, and possibly they did
3:24
: ‘consolidate expertise right into a 3-win participant’ is an admirable purpose
3:24
: perhaps it’s Bo Bichette?
3:25
: however in trying by way of our projections, I’m attempting to assume which of those guys are on the block, and eh…. Bichette, perhaps Yandy Diaz who doesn’t actually really feel like a star, and nobody else who appears more likely to be on the commerce block
3:26
: so sure, I feel that they need to put money into having extra stars on their group, notably through commerce
3:26
: I simply assume that may be a powerful needle to string
3:26
: on that be aware: time to go choose up some lunch
3:26
: and hten again to digging by way of outdated prospect lists for a enjoyable article I’m engaged on
3:26
: have an exquisite week, everybody, and an exquisite vacation season
Ben is a author at FanGraphs. He could be discovered on Twitter @_Ben_Clemens.
