To border this dialogue, I’ll ask that you simply have a look again on the gamers who’ve gained Finals MVP through the years. The overwhelming majority of these gamers have been both MVPs or extensively thought-about one of many high 2-3 gamers within the recreation that 12 months. For probably the most half, the outliers (for instance Andre Iguodala, Tony Parker) have been on groups that featured gamers who didn’t win Finals MVP however have been clearly one of many premier gamers within the league (Steph Curry, Tim Duncan).
This isn’t to say that it’s not possible for a crew to win with out a top-3 participant within the league. The 2004 Pistons will at all times be the final word “nicely, truly” trump card on this dialogue. Nevertheless, traditionally talking, the overwhelming majority of NBA titles are gained by super-duper-stars.
Final 12 months, Jayson Tatum completed 4th in MVP voting and bought no 1st place votes. Simply being a top-5 MVP candidate is an incredible accomplishment that 99.9% of the league can solely dream of attaining. Nevertheless, it’s fairly clear that Tatum was a step behind the top-3 of Joel Embiid, Nikola Jokic, and Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Clearly successful MVP doesn’t assure a title (simply ask Joel), however the level right here is that if the Celtics are going to win a title within the subsequent few years, it is going to in all probability be largely because of Jayson Tatum ascending that further stage into the highest echelon of NBA superstars.
Don’t get me improper, he’ll want loads of assist. Newly minted supermax man Jaylen Brown must proceed to enhance and hold himself within the All-NBA dialogue. Kristaps Porzingis wants to remain wholesome and environment friendly. The Celtics as an entire must defend nicely sufficient in huge moments to place themselves in place to win. Then they should execute on offense when strain is on the highest. In addition they want good teaching and good harm luck and all the opposite little issues that we obsess over twelve months a 12 months on this weblog.
Nonetheless, it boils all the way down to Jayson Tatum main the crew along with his distinctive all-around skillset. There actually doesn’t appear to be a obvious weak spot in his recreation at this level. The critiques of him are usually selecting nits and comparisons with traditionally nice gamers. Tatum isn’t nearly as good of a passer as Jokic (who’s?). He’s not as dominant as Giannis. He hasn’t reached “I’m going supernova and taking up this Finals” stage that Steph Curry can.
What he’s, although, is a greater defender than a minimum of Steph and Jokic. He’s a greater shooter than Giannis and has extra playoff success than Embiid. He has the instruments that may put him proper there with these guys. There’s nonetheless one other stage Tatum can attain and I believe he’s totally able to getting there.
Consistency is an enormous factor for him. He has run cold and hot for many of his profession however he has additionally progressively gotten increasingly more constant through the years. To be on the high of the league, he must be on high of his recreation for nearly each night time (discovering methods to contribute even on the events when the shot isn’t falling). That consistency must occur on either side of the ball, too. Main the offense is an enormous burden and he has to search out methods to relaxation situationally in video games, however not on the expense of the protection (if in any respect attainable).
He’s gotten higher at distributing the ball, normally making the suitable learn and passing successfully out of double groups. He gained’t ever have the innate really feel that pure passers like Jokic or Luka Doncic have, however he can enhance to the purpose the place he’s dictating the circulate of the sport as an alternative of reacting to what the protection provides him.
Jayson has confirmed that he may be an elite shooter however within the final couple of seasons his capturing proportion has slipped. If he can shoot nearer to his profession proportion of 37.5% from 3 (as an alternative of hovering round 35%) that may be big.
I’m certain that there are different nits to choose, however the level right here is that Jayson Tatum has it in him to be an MVP (or a minimum of be central to the heated debates over who deserves it extra). If he can hit that further stage, the Celtics have nearly as good a shot on the title as any crew within the league.