The 2024-2025 Boston Celtics are 20-5 and are on tempo for 66 wins. Whereas this yr’s staff has been objectively dominant, there have been whispers that they haven’t lived as much as the 2023-2024 Boston Celtics customary. So, I dove into the numbers to see if these whispers have any benefit.
Final season, the Celtics submitted one of the dominant seasons in NBA historical past. They went 64-18 within the common season and 16-3 within the playoffs on the best way to the title. They have been so dominant that it’s straightforward to neglect that the staff misplaced 21 video games.
Whereas the Celtics dismantled the Dallas Mavericks within the Finals, in addition they suffered the worst defeat in NBA Finals historical past, taking place 122-84 in Recreation 4 of the Finals. I remind you of that insignificant but jarring loss as a reminder that as we transfer by means of the 2024-2025 season, the Celtics won’t be excellent.
We’ll begin by zooming out. The 2025 Boston Celtics are 20-5. An similar file to final yr’s staff by means of 25 video games. Each are outrageously spectacular data. This yr, the Celtics’ web score stands at 10.0, in comparison with 9.0 on the similar 25-game mark final season. Once more, each are excellent numbers, with the slight edge going to the 2025 squad.
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A essential issue about this yr’s Celtics staff, which makes them extremely spectacular, is that they’ve dealt considerably extra accidents. This season, the highest six gamers within the rotation—Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, Derrick White, Jrue Vacation, Kristaps Porzingis, and Al Horford—have solely performed one sport collectively. Final season, the highest six performed 14 out of the primary 25 video games. Different notable absences from final season in comparison with this season:
Not solely has Kristaps missed nearly all of the season, Jaylen Brown has additionally missed 20% of the season, together with a sprinkle of different absences. The Celtics have executed a wonderful job sustaining an elite stage of play regardless of having awful harm luck to start out the yr.
Defensively is the place I believe most observers would say the Celtics have slipped. Statistically, the Celtics have a barely worse defensive score by means of 25 video games. Final season, they have been sitting at a 109.0 defensive score, which was second within the league. This season, the Celtics have a defensive score of 110.3, which is ninth within the league. Whereas the Celtics have primarily maintained their defensive id, defenses across the NBA are having extra success than final yr. This has led to the Celtics’ total defensive rating drop however not their defensive score.
I concede the protection has not been nearly as good as final yr. Many of the slippage may be attributed to Porzingis’ absence. He’s a game-changer on the defensive finish. I usually neglect how dominant he may be defensively as a result of he mesmerizes me on the offensive finish of the ground. It’s good to have that Lavtian King again within the lineup.
Wanting on the losses, the 2025 Celtics are but to endure a defeat by double digits. They’ve but to lose two video games in a row and drop a sport to a correct backside feeder. Their worst loss on paper was the extra time defeat to the Indiana Pacers. That’s a bizarre case, although. The Pacers didn’t play like a staff now sitting at 10-15. They got here to avenge their Japanese Convention Finals sweep. The loss to the Atlanta Hawks stands out because the worst this season, nevertheless it seems the Hawks are a reliable staff.
In comparison with final season, by means of 25 video games, the Celtics had misplaced back-to-back video games to the Timberwolves and 76ers, they usually had misplaced an extra time sport in opposition to the Charlotte Hornets (after narrowly escaping defeat the earlier evening to the Memphis Grizzlies, who have been lacking Ja Morant), and acquired smoked by the Orlando Magic 113-96. If we prolong to 26 video games, the 2024 Celtics are about to blow an 18-point fourth-quarter lead in a PTSD-inducing sport to the Golden State Warriors — not fairly the right staff that we bear in mind,
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Probably the most important variations for me watching the Celtics this yr is how I really feel in clutch video games. A clutch sport is any sport inside 5 factors within the closing 5 minutes. Final season, the Celtics have been 21-12 in crunch time. Good for a 63.6% successful share, the fourth-best within the league. To this point, this yr’s Celtics are 10-5 in crunch time. Good for a 66.7% successful share, which is second-best within the league. The way in which the Celtics are working in crunch time is surgical. Sure, that was statistically true final season as nicely. Nonetheless, the best way the Celtics are searching matchups and stepping into their bread-and-butter actions have them transferring just like the veteran championship staff that they’re. The Celtics’ precision in clutch time now fills me with confidence I did not have earlier than.
It’s straightforward to make a case that this yr’s model of the Celtics have been extra spectacular. Defending a title is difficult. This group performed up till June. Jrue and Derrick performed within the Olympics, whereas Jayson Tatum endured weird teaching selections from Steve Kerr. Some regression or championship malaise must be baked into the expectations for the 2025 common season Celtics. Final yr’s group rightly got here in with an enormous chip on their shoulder after their tortuous defeat to the Miami Warmth within the convention finals. It’s exhausting to fabricate that stage of motivation. The Celtics don’t have something to show this yr. Whenever you issue within the problem of defending a tile, mixed with the accidents they’ve confronted, I’ve to offer the sting to the 2025 Boston Celtics.
