The Woking-based workforce has emerged as Purple Bull’s closest challenger at Imola, with its tempo suggesting that it had the potential to seize pole place.
Regardless of its velocity, its probabilities in opposition to Verstappen for the win have been weakened by Piastri’s three-place grid penalty that strikes him right down to fifth spot, however McLaren nonetheless clearly feels it’s within the hunt for a shot at victory.
Whereas an anticipated easy medium-hard one-stop technique at a observe that’s onerous to overhaul on provides it few choices to outgun Verstappen in a straight head-to-head combat, that isn’t to say there are not any strategic choices that would get it in entrance.
This might embody risking beginning on the gentle to get the bounce into Flip 1, or going early for an undercut on the first stops to leapfrog forward. It may even depart its tyre change as late as attainable within the hope of getting on a lot brisker tyres for the sprint to the chequered flag. Security Automobiles may additionally throw up different alternatives.
McLaren workforce principal Andrea Stella is obvious, nevertheless, that something it does in its bid for glory won’t be a matter of taking a bet.
Requested by Motorsport.com in regards to the mindset for the race, Stella mentioned: “We hope, and we want by no means to seek out ourselves in a situation the place we’ll roll the cube. We attempt to use some logical consideration and strategic consideration to see what’s one of the best method to maximise the outcome.
“We’ve got to say that the run to [Turn 1] right here is without doubt one of the longest of the season. So the place on the grid won’t essentially be the place, as an instance, on the finish of lap one.
Picture by: Mark Sutton / Motorsport Photographs
“We’ll see. On the whole, there’s some strategic choices as a result of the onerous tyres can go comparatively lengthy.
“So, you possibly can cease early, and go for a long term and attempt to work with the undercut. Or it’s possible you’ll cease later, and then you definitely might need to overhaul some folks, however with brisker tyres.
“There are a number of choices. We’ll see. However an important factor is to have the tempo to be in situation to deploy these choices.”
Pirelli’s head of F1 Mario Isola reckons that the temperature could possibly be crucial to how the race performs out – the cooler it will get, the much less highly effective the undercut is.
“Whether it is heat then I don’t see any subject with the warm-up of the onerous, and the undercut could possibly be highly effective,” he mentioned. “If the temperatures are a lot cooler, then clearly the onerous would battle just a little bit with the warm-up.”
Requested if he felt there was the chance for McLaren to gamble and do one thing surprising, Isola mentioned: “It is tough to essentially have a strategic choice that’s altering utterly the state of affairs right here. In another races, we had extra variabilities and so it was simpler to invent one thing.
“However in any case, I consider that now we have a really shut discipline with automobiles inside lower than one tenth of a second. And meaning that we’ll see, for positive, massive motion in the course of the race. We may have an attention-grabbing race regardless of the one pit cease.”
Picture by: Mark Sutton / Motorsport Photographs
Isola didn’t assume that McLaren beginning on softs to leap Verstappen was value attempting.
“If you wish to take a threat and begin with a gentle, I am unsure – simply to leap in entrance on the first nook and attempt to preserve the place,” he mentioned. “I am unsure if it’s a actually massive benefit.
“We all know that the distinction by way of metres you achieve between the gentle and the medium may be very small, after which it is also right down to the best way during which the motive force is beginning.
“We all know that Max is excellent in any begin, so I consider that when you try beginning on the gentle to attempt to overtake at the start, and you are not profitable, you possibly can harm your race just a little bit. It is not likely one thing that I personally would attempt.”
Above all else, McLaren will not be naïve sufficient to assume that it’s about to embark on a easy straight combat with Verstappen. Stella says it has to maintain one eye on what’s going on behind too.
“I nonetheless assume that Ferrari are very aggressive,” he mentioned. “Among the lap instances, particularly that [Charles] Leclerc put collectively in free apply in his long term in comparison with us, seemed fairly spectacular.
“So, when you materialise these lap instances, we won’t solely have to take a look at Verstappen. We will certainly have to consider Ferrari as effectively.”