For the final 3 years, most affordable Dolphins followers have been bought on Tua Tagvailoa. We noticed the potential in his rookie yr, after which we noticed how held again he was in yr 2 of Brian Flores’ system. In yr 3, we noticed the bounce. The offense was a film when Tua was on the market, but in some way there’s nonetheless a nationwide asterisk on his potential. We all know the well being scares, however there ought to be zero doubt about what Tua can do when he’s on the sphere.
There’s a bevy of stats to again that up, together with his high 5 PFF passing grade, his QB ranking, his QBR, and main the league in yards per try. He utterly shattered the misconceptions about his “Nerf gun arm,” as Skip Bayless would say. Nonetheless not satisfied? Maintain, please.
Yesterday we acquired a gem from one of the revered analytic soccer guys round. Warren Sharp posted a high 35 record for “High QBs passing from the pocket” and lo, and behold Tua Tagovailoa completed a step from the highest. Quantity 2 to Patrick Mahomes. For all of the folks on the market who don’t belief QB ranking or QBR, this corroborates these grades. These rankings are based mostly on EPA / per try, a minimal of 150 makes an attempt. To brush up on EPA:
“Anticipated Factors Added (EPA) is a measure of success which defines the worth of every play by the impact it has on the offense’s probability to attain. For each play, EPA is attributed equally to each groups, and the metric is pretty dependable in figuring out the perfect groups in soccer.”
“Moreover, EPA could be aggregated and attributed to particular person gamers. Such rankings are way more dependable in assessing a participant’s contribution to the offense than many primary statistics, akin to yards-per-attempt, completion proportion, and many others.” – Professional Soccer Focus
Final yr’s “why Tua isn’t that good” excuse was that he was carried by his weapons and training employees, however his literal grade for “participant’s contribution to the offense” per play is quantity 2 to the Child Goat. With extra lists and grades backing up Tua’s significance, perhaps we’ll lastly see QB1 get the nationwide respect he deserves.
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