Whereas it arrived every week later than anticipated as a result of postponement of the derby, Liverpool not too long ago performed out their nineteenth recreation of the league season and it’s now time to evaluate.
It means Arne Slot‘s Reds are formally midway by means of their marketing campaign, albeit having performed Man United twice and Everton by no means.
The Reds sit on the prime of the desk on 46 factors, their finest return after 19 video games because the membership final gained the title in 2019/20 after they had banked 55 factors on the midway stage.
• READ: Liverpool on the right track for Third-highest factors haul at midway stage
So it begs the query, what have we discovered from the primary half of the season?
Liverpool are imperfect however nonetheless favourites
After 11 video games, I wrote a bit analysing Liverpool’s title probabilities primarily based on information. At the moment, the Reds have been on observe for a 96-point season, though they have been overachieving their xP (Anticipated Factors) tally because of a red-hot attacking unit.
Their ‘true’ stage then gave the impression to be round 83 factors by season’s finish, which is respectable, however far above the closest challengers on the time – demonstrating simply how uncommon this Premier League season was shaping up.
Now on the midway mark, Liverpool are monitoring for a extra affordable 92 factors – however their xP can be as much as 86 factors, which means we are able to now comfortably predict the Reds will land at or close to the 90-point mark.
Man Metropolis have crumbled, as predicted, whereas Arsenal have rediscovered their prime kind – they’re unbeaten in 9 league video games because the evaluation was revealed. However they’ll now possible want 50 factors from the 54 remaining to catch Liverpool on the prime – and certain would wish to win at Anfield for the primary time since 2012.
Slot’s aspect are regressing, as anticipated, after a high quality begin – however they’re nonetheless clearly the most effective staff within the league, and clearly have the most effective likelihood to win it.
Full-backs are the fulcrum, and the long run should be secured
To elucidate simply how fluid the full-back position has been this season, right here’s Trent Alexander-Arnold speaking about how Arne Slot coaches them in buildup:
“The supervisor will dissect how they press so we are able to outnumber the best way they press. In the event that they press with three, we’ll have 4 gamers round, in order that we are able to play by means of them. In the event that they press with a two then there’ll be three gamers, et cetera. It’s nearly who these gamers are and the place it really works finest.”
A excessive diploma of tactical intelligence is required, with the full-backs given particular directions for every recreation – after which challenged to make changes in-game as opponents react.
In opposition to the ball, they each keep deeper to disclaim area for wingers on the counter, permitting them to run up and down the pitch much less but additionally giving them larger accountability in defending 1v1.
In consequence, Liverpool’s capability to construct play, create synthetic transitions and defend quick breaks are all depending on the full-backs – and it’s on this context that Andy Robertson has drawn criticism.
In keeping with FBref, Robertson’s defensive numbers have barely modified from final season, whereas the decline in his attacking output is basically as a result of new setup.
He did get despatched off towards Fulham, although he had simply sustained a big knock when he made the error, and has made some alarming errors in construct up.
However different incidents have been unfairly added to the case towards him, such because the equivalent objectives scored by Leicester and Man United when his winger ran throughout him – objectives which can be typical for a full-back to concede, not the signal of a participant in decline.
He has seemed each bit a participant whose rotation choices are absent, with each Kostas Tsimikas and Joe Gomez struggling accidents forcing him to play recreation after recreation.
The significance of the position below Slot means a excessive stage backup choice is required. However the dismissal of hyperlinks to Antonee Robinson (27) in favour of targets equivalent to Milos Kerkez (21) and Jorrel Hato (18) suggests it’s a long-term successor that Liverpool search slightly than a substitute.
Finest staff within the league – however it’s a squad recreation
It’s laborious to argue towards Liverpool’s beginning eleven being the most effective on this planet this season. But it surely comes from a pool of roughly 14-15 gamers which have Slot’s belief and his dependence on them has been detrimental at occasions.
The likes of Virgil Van Dijk, Ryan Gravenberch, Luis Diaz and Mohamed Salah have had little alternative to relaxation as Slot has been reluctant to belief backups like Jarell Quansah, Wataru Endo and Darwin Nunez.
It’s led to some shows influenced by fatigue, notably the defeats to Nottingham Forest within the league and Tottenham within the Carabao Cup.
With Federico Chiesa the one signing that Slot has greenlit thus far, he has but to construct a squad that he can belief from prime to backside. That is likely to be the distinction between one huge trophy and a handful of them come season’s finish.
Spectacular firepower however Salah nonetheless essential weapon
That Chiesa signing means Liverpool have six senior forwards at their disposal. However the different 5 massively underperformed their xG final season, which means there have been some selections for the brand new boss to make.
Diogo Jota is his clear favorite to guide the road when match, however in his absence Slot has repurposed Luis Diaz as a centre ahead and unleashed Cody Gakpo on the left wing. Each gamers have subsequently gone up a stage from their stints within the reverse positions below the earlier coach, and the frontline is presently essentially the most potent within the Premier League.
No staff within the competitors has scored greater than the Reds’ 47.
However there’s nonetheless clearly one essential man. Salah has a brand new look, a brand new position out of possession and a brand new lease on Liverpool life that has seen him mount a robust case for the Ballon d’Or. He’s scored an absurd 38 % of his aspect’s league objectives on the midway mark.
Maybe that’s why hyperlinks have emerged to Khvicha Kvaratskhelia – Slot possible needs to construct a ahead line in his personal picture that may share the goalscoring burden.
Arne Slot will not be an unknown entity now
The ultimate phrase then ought to go to the person whose identify is throughout this piece. Slot was an ideal unknown earlier than a ball was kicked, a coach plucked from the Eredivise to exchange Jurgen Norbert Klopp.
Halfway by means of the season, we’ve discovered that the Dutchman is up there with the most effective of the most effective.
He’s turned the third-best staff of final 12 months’s league to the most effective, utilizing solely a techniques board and a eager eye for repurposing the expertise at his disposal.
In addition to tinkering with the frontline, each member of his first-choice midfield is enjoying a distinct position than they did final 12 months.
The largest points from final season – ending probabilities, stopping objectives and controlling video games – have all been addressed and improved upon. His capability to tweak positions, defend leads or ship on a fourth attacker to discover a purpose have been instrumental in altering video games and snatching factors.
Now to see how he goes about navigating the second half of 2024/25.
